PLO, 3max, hu-pot against weak villain (3barrel)
Posted by Seo4u
Posted by
Seo4u
posted in
Mid Stakes
PLO, 3max, hu-pot against weak villain (3barrel)
https://www.weaktight.com/h/55aee8b1d39043b2328b4711
Hey guys, I`d be very pleased if someone could help me out with this hand
The btn i perceive... maybe not as a huge fish but his ranges are definately not balanced.
I have 100 hands on him his stats are:
btn steal: 44%
cbet flop:62% cbet turn:66%
he did raise me at least once and i he raised definately at least... 4 times already so he is more on the agressive side.
okay lets start: on the flop I think i need to call there, he could have like anything, he could definately bet with AKJ5 or whatever he feels like, he of course could have 36 already. I dont know but I think people in generall do bet more widely on this kind of board and sometimes he is gonna give up on the turn and sometimes the board paires. So first question i guess is if this call is +ev?
on the turn, if he bluffs with a big % of hands he is gonna call with a lot of flushdraws and might even bet again with some straightdraws. I am quiet a callingstation & lag player I dont know if he catched on to that and maybe i am talking myself into calling here but on the other hand on the turn i can`t fold anyway imo.
The River is why i really marked this hand, because I think i saw a few laydowns from some pros with similar handstrength. In this spot i give him mostly a full house, missed flushdraws, a few 78 and sometimes pure air(?).
looking forward to your analysis guys,
greets
Loading 2 Comments...
i would say its quite standard (w\ stats and reads you've given) till the river. OTR it comes down to what you think of him.
but overall, if you say he's unbalanced - i'd expect no straights, but boats or air otf(as weaker player shouldn't go for some thin value here; meaning your blocker don't play much role here, imo), the question is would he really pull a trigger for a third barrel w\ air.
agree with jimmy. if you think he is underbluffing than fold. if you think he is overbluffing than call. if you think he is really balanced you need to call a bit more than 50% of the time (as he bet close to pot) and I would think this hand is in your best 50% to call with (considering you block a bunch of boats with your 2 and he isn't betting a straight for value)
think the more interesting point is on the turn. does raise and barrel off make any sense? as that is the only way that we are going to win against his straights that bet the turn and check back the river, and we get to fold out the equity he has with his semibluffs
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