PLO 200 HU (river decision)

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PLO 200 HU (river decision)

SB: $209.50
BB: $219.50 (Hero)
Preflop ($3.00) (2 Players)
Hero was dealt 5 T J 7
SB raises to $6, Hero calls $4
Flop ($13.00) T 2 J (2 Players)
Hero checks, SB bets $8, Hero raises to $30, SB calls $22
Turn ($73.00) T 2 J A (2 Players)
Hero bets $50, SB calls $50
River ($173.00) T 2 J A 2 (2 Players)
We just start to play, this is only 18 hand. No any reads at this moment but i think he is reg, not fish.
So, lets start from turn, everyone bet/call turn here? River is more hard for me. I think he alsmot cant have full house here, i'm not sure about KQ, probably he jam turn with KQ, it's can be some flush and most likely better than our flush. I dont know wich line is better here. At this moment i choose check/call becouse he shoud not call as with worst hand and maybe he will bluff with somethink like Q9?

2 Comments

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Maikel1983 12 years, 1 month ago
Villain doesn't necessarily needs to shove KQxx OTT, when villain has spades to go with it make sense to just call the turn. Villain might fold the underwrap (987x) OTT to a bet. Villain range doesn't contain a lot of fullhouses, although 22xx,AAxx are possible. HERO blocks JJxx,TTxx.
I think range of checking-back river, 2pairs, AJxx,ATxx. When check villain check back HERO wins, when villain shoves I don't see him turn hands into a bluff on the river. Villain might turn QsQxx,KsKxx into bluff but that is just a small portion of his range.

I think I would check-fold river, am I a nit ;) or just bad :)
Brian Hamilton 12 years, 1 month ago
With $173 in the pot and $124 effective, I think I'd shove here. He has to put you on sets/top 2/KQxx after you c/r flop. When turn completes the straight, you're range is so good that he has to be pretty strong to continue. Since he probably reraises sets on the flop, I think he actually does have KQxx a ton here OTT. The question is whether or not he will call with dry KQxx on the river. I think he will call it off getting such good odds, so I think a shove for value is the best play. Yes he can have some higher flushes, but unless you have a strong read he will fold KQ, just put it in.

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