PLO 200 HU Any other way to play it ?
Posted by Standing.Wave
Posted by
Standing.Wave
posted in
Mid Stakes
PLO 200 HU Any other way to play it ?
BB: $277
SB: $203 (Hero)
SB: $203 (Hero)
Preflop
($3.00)
(2 Players)
Hero was dealt
5
9
8
2
Hero raises to $6, BB calls $4
Hero raises to $6, BB calls $4
Flop
($13.00)
8
2
5
(2 Players)
BB checks,
Hero bets $9,
BB raises to $28,
Hero raises to $95.50,
BB raises to $271, and is all in,
Hero calls $101.50, and is all in
Turn
($518.00)
8
2
5
6
(2 Players)
River
($518.00)
8
2
5
6
J
(2 Players)
Final Pot
BB has
2
5
4
5
Hero has
5
9
8
2
BB
wins $405.50
Villian just sat down basically.
I thought i do not wanna see any turns at all and i since i got 3 pair i have a bit more boat outs and block a bit more sets.
Anything i could have done differently?
Loading 8 Comments...
You can flat and use your position to make even better decisions on later streets. You're not going to be a big favorite against his getting it in range anyways. And even though there are a lot of bad turns for your hand you're going to see how your opponent reacts to them and act accordingly.
With that said, shipping it in is fine too imo, though I'd like to know a little about villain's flop raising tendencies.
I think its fine to fold.
At best we got a flip?
He calls oop and c/r flop i would assume he is really strong. I do not think any reg would do this first hand before they know your tendencies, which would make me think he is some (random) passive fish who sad down looking to play all hands and play when he hits.
Seeing his hand the read "play all hand, be tight and call down when semi draws, raise when strong".
Whether or not folding is good or bad totally depends on the opponent's raising range. If he's only raising middle set or better, then the correct play would be to fold, however sick it seems to fold a hand this strong. At lower stakes it's actually not all that uncommon to come across set peddlers who have all sets in their range and raise ONLY sets. I don't think it's all that common at 1/2 though, so I don't think you should be too quick to fold this hand just to a single flop raise.
That said, I don't see how shipping the flop here can be anything better than slightly losing. You'd need 46% to get it in, and I don't see how you'll have that against any normal get it in range.
Although your absolute hand strength "three pair" looks very strong here, in terms of your equity, your hand is actually doing pretty poorly vs most ch/r'ing ranges. I think(though not positive) calling and taking a turn is going to be higher EV. You probably have enough equity to get it in on the flop, but I don't think your making a ton doing so.
The one benefit of a jam that I could think of would be if villain is ch/r-folding hands with substantial equity against this holding. Something like Q987:ss. That's definitely more of an exploitative read I think.
In future you shouldnt show result (i havent posted a hand here so i do not know if its not possible to remove result)
But like its said even though your hand looks strong its not compared to the range of hands he c/r.
Just an example of how bad our hand is doing vs 8+overs.
AKQ8 without fd/bdfd got 38.05% - I think this is best scenario.
And lets be honest how often do we face that - like never
Adding a fd its 56 % vs you.
Vs a range of: Highpair with fd, 8+fd, 22, 88, 85, 55, 679* (though i think he would call without the fd), 679* with fd, 55**, 22** you got 38%.
Obv. more hands to add if you find out he is insane (and maybe some to remove), but first hand i would just fold as i do not find any hand that we actually beat with the % we need to have to get it in.
Results can be removed by just deleting the last part of the hand history text when posting.
Why are we only considering folding and jamming otf? Yes, many turns look bad for hero's hand but they will also look scary to villain who has to act first. We can turn our hand into a bluff on flush and straight completing cards if villain checks. Or check back and make a decision otr. So in my opinion calling > folding > jamming.
Be the first to add a comment