PLO 100 AA 3b spot oop
Posted by xpx
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xpx
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Low Stakes
PLO 100 AA 3b spot oop
BN: $97.50
SB: $103.22
BB: $97.04 (Hero)
UTG: $157.47
HJ: $122.87
CO: $88.56
SB: $103.22
BB: $97.04 (Hero)
UTG: $157.47
HJ: $122.87
CO: $88.56
Villain is 53/30/23 on 96 hands.
Preflop
($1.50)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
A
Q
A
T
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO raises to $3, BN folds, SB folds, Hero raises to $9.50, CO calls $6.50
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO raises to $3, BN folds, SB folds, Hero raises to $9.50, CO calls $6.50
Flop
($20.50)
K
Q
4
(2 Players)
What would you do here?
Loading 7 Comments...
b/c it off very happily? You have an overpair + nut gutshot + pair which serves as blocker and also has some 2p outs. Additionally KK, QQ, K4, Q4 and 44s are likely not in villain's range very often.
I definitely think that KK,QQ or something like KQ is often in his 3bet calling range here. Why would you think he doesnt have those types of hand??
In this spot i wouldnt be very happy about bet calling it off cuz we will never be a big favourite getting the money in now. Not sure whats best here... Bet folding just seems bad and very nitty, checking would leave us guessing OTT and rivers so with a gut shoot and BDFD i would close my eyes and gii if i get raised. If he calls just jam almost any turn.
I also overexaggerated in that I'd happily gii but I still think I would w/o any hesitation. It's tough for him to have a lot of bluffs but he also doesn't have many value combos and we're in ok shape vs most of them.
Last but not least, I don't expect to get shoved on but called almost always if he decided to continue.
Thx for inputs!
In game, I ended up check raising because I don't like all my other options.
Bet/call- we are doing very bad against his Gii range.
Check/call- we will be guessing a lot on later streets.
Check/fold and bet/fold seem so nitty.
If I was going to bet/Gii, why not check rasise and let him stab with his whole range?
+1
if he checks behind, we know we got the best of it and can easily c-bet turn for value.
I bet call, might check back from ip
vs an aggressive player (=stabb-happy) c/r is a good option.
if unsure I would lean towards a bet/call. there is a decent chance he raises with a hand like AKJx or KJTx that we are a favorite against. Otherwise, once we called we can shove most turns.
It's important to always keep in mind the overall EV when bet/calling is not just the EV vs a stackoffrange but rather EV[taking the pot down when he folds] + EV[getting called and then take it down on the turn/get it in vs a hand we have dominated] + EV[vs a stackoff range that not only includes 2pair+].
In addition we want to bet this board pretty often as the 3better, so we have to merge our range and not only bet bluffs and KQ+.
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