Playing weak FH on river IP vs loose opponent
Posted by devwil
Posted by devwil posted in Low Stakes
Playing weak FH on river IP vs loose opponent
Blinds: $0.50/$1.00 (5 Players)
BB: $78.72
UTG: $95.40
CO: $101.07
BN: $243.33 (Hero)
SB: $61.46
UTG: $95.40
CO: $101.07
BN: $243.33 (Hero)
SB: $61.46
Anonymous tables. BB's VPIP was over 90 with a much lower PFR, and I believe their AGG% was ~40 at this point. They may not have had any 3bets by this point, but I have their 3bet% as 6.3 in my DB now.
Preflop
($1.50)
Hero is BN with
6
6
A
4
, , ,
Button open on the looser side. Nbd.
Flop
($7.50)
6
A
8
, ,
I don't think calling is an option here. Villain can have AA here, but more likely: pair + OESD, top two, or 88 given their flat preflop (not that AA is never just called preflop).
I raised to protect against straight draws for the most part; I don't think I'm earning many villain folds here, but if they do have 88 my range remains uncapped and there may be a non-zero chance of a fold from 88 if they put me on AA and only AA. I also didn't want to call and have BB take initiative to be able to barrel again on a straightening card that may not have actually given them a straight.
Also, I'm buying myself a river card a lot of the time.
I raised to protect against straight draws for the most part; I don't think I'm earning many villain folds here, but if they do have 88 my range remains uncapped and there may be a non-zero chance of a fold from 88 if they put me on AA and only AA. I also didn't want to call and have BB take initiative to be able to barrel again on a straightening card that may not have actually given them a straight.
Also, I'm buying myself a river card a lot of the time.
Turn
($35.38)
6
A
8
4
,
Really not a great card, and I'm liable to be check-raised by a significant portion of BB's range once they just call flop. I check to see if I can fill up.
River
($35.38)
6
A
8
4
8
Full.
Trouble is, I don't actually beat much at this point. 88 has quads, A8 has a better FH... 57 may not call much of a river bet.
What's your plan for this river? How much money do you call to a BB bet (if anything)? (Or do you raise?) How much do you plan to bet if checked to (if anything)?
Trouble is, I don't actually beat much at this point. 88 has quads, A8 has a better FH... 57 may not call much of a river bet.
What's your plan for this river? How much money do you call to a BB bet (if anything)? (Or do you raise?) How much do you plan to bet if checked to (if anything)?
Comments on other streets also welcome.
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