PL50 - KKQJss COvBTN - SRP - Flop and turn Line?
Posted by Bluechip
Posted by Bluechip posted in Low Stakes
PL50 - KKQJss COvBTN - SRP - Flop and turn Line?
UTG: $53.30
CO: $67.42 (Hero)
BN: $67.07
SB: $14.95
Hey guys,
I'd be very interested in having feedback over this hand.
This is PL50 on anonymous tables, so I tend to usually assume players are straightforward, not bluffing a lot with blockers, and fairly loose pre and postflop.
Villain is unknown, and I have started by assigning him a roughly 30% PF cold calling range excluding the top 6% that he would 3bet.
Flop
I chose to lead, but retrospectively I think check/calling has a lot more merit, as :
- we don't hold any diamond
- we block top pair / top set, and some top wraps
- we are potentially flipping against the range he would flat call with (wraps, flush draws + Pairs)
- we don't have a lot of favorable turn runouts except a 5, a T, a J and the 9s (the only one not bringing another FD)
I think check/raising is very bad as the SPR is super high (13), we would fold out a lot of hands we dominate and we have very few good turn runouts.
As played, we can probably assume Villain flat calls with a range made of pairs+FD, wraps and OESD, diamonds + pair ((9+!(JJ,AA)):dd,Kdd+,T8+), and we can exclude :
- top set (JJ)
- top pair + nut FD
- AA + nut FD
Turn
Again, I tend to believe check/calling is the right play here, eventhough I decided to checkshove (which seems a valid option on PJ).
We have favorable river runouts (excluding diamonds and an A), and we would keep Villain barreling with the weakest part of his range (diamonds, OESD).
What do you think about the flop and turn play?
Thanks for the feedback guys, always very interested in hearing different analysis!
Will
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