PL200 - Turn decision - Facing 2nd barrel from Aggressive player
Posted by Bluechip
Posted by Bluechip posted in Mid Stakes
PL200 - Turn decision - Facing 2nd barrel from Aggressive player
CO: $555.89
BN: $351.90 (Hero)
SB: $482.04
BB: $200.00
Rake is $3.00
[27/03 Edited after Phil's recommandations]
[We are 177bb effective]
[PJ assumptions edited]
Hi guys, Another spot where I struggled. Villain is a 47/32 with a 17% 3Bet, very active.
Preflop
- I think opening / calling a 3bet with this hand is fine. Any argument for not opening, or folding to the 3bet vs any player or vs this type of player?
Flop
- I Flop Top and bottom Two pair with no redraw.
- Board is heavy / semi wet (no flush draws).
- I'm excluding hands he would check : KK,A9,AQ,QJT+,Q!(9,A):(hhdd,hhcc,ccdd)
[As to now I haven't found in PJ the way to make him Cbet with only a fraction (let's say 80% as Phil recommended) of his remaining hands.]
- Against my opponent's Cbetting range I have good odds to continue, and depending on runouts I should be stacking off on low cards or folding on K, J, T, and having a decision on a 8 as it would only bring one straight (JT).
[Edit : If I'm working by exclusion with PJ, with excluding the hands he would check I now have a clear advantage on this board]
Turn
- The 3d turn doesn't change the board much
- I expect my opponent to barrel any gutshot + diamond, any pair + diamonds, any two pair+, given how active he is.
- As expected by what I observed from my opponent, he double barrels.
- My decision here is basically to shove or fold. At the moment I didn't feel confident about the decision and folded.
Here with the PJ simulation I see that this might actually be a call as I'd be getting enough odds if he's barreling with semi bluffs (range B) and made hands (range A).
What do you think the most optimal line is on this hand? Do you think it's a bad fold?
Thanks a lot for your help!
Guillaume
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