PL025 - Good bluffing candidate on this board runout?
Posted by ICbetU
Posted by ICbetU posted in Low Stakes
PL025 - Good bluffing candidate on this board runout?
SB: $14.63
BB: $78.33
UTG: $58.14
MP: $19.42 (Hero)
CO: $15.20
We are 15$ deep aka 60BB deep with CO who calls our open from the MP.
Flop: I dont like the idea of check calling, I have the T blocker, 9 blocker for two pair/ trips, a gutshot to the nuts and a backdoor nut flush draw. Bet folding this flop, but I think villain never slowplays here and sometimes even ends up folding AJxx and Kxxx hands without fds or gutters.
Turn: His calling range here I make up to be slowplayed monsters, J9+, fds and Jxxx+gutshots. I think he folds the majority of his middle range that he called flop with to a turn bet, and even some two pair hands like AKJx. I also pick up the nfd which gives me a really concealed big value bet otr. He most likely raises all of his straights he called flop with at this point, so I think we can barrel river to finish him because of his middlish weak calling range on this lockdown board + draws.
River: We brick, I pot into villain, and he ends up tank calling with [8c 7c 8h Jh].
I think his play is okay, he ends up with a reasonable call on the river seeing he has to call some of his 87 combos, but having the two clubs make it debatable. If he calls turn, I dont think he can fold this river, but obv there are a lot of turn cards where I barrel him off in this spot.
Do we have better bluff candidates here? Is this a good one, why/why not?
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