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OTT, just call or raise? What is the best choice?

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

OTT, just call or raise? What is the best choice?

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players) BN: $23.40 (Hero)
SB: $22.13
BB: $10.00
UTG: $8.51
MP: $9.85
CO: $11.45
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is BN with Q T 8 K
UTG raises to $0.35, MP calls $0.35, CO folds, Hero calls $0.35, 2 folds
Flop ($1.20) 5 2 J
UTG checks, MP bets $0.86, Hero calls $0.86, UTG folds
Turn ($2.92) 5 2 J 7
MP bets $2.10, Hero

I have a doubt OTT
I know that my call is profitable, but my outs had reverse implied, so I considered raise OTT.
I have 39% against this range: $fi25!$3b4i:((AA),(KK),(JJ,55,22),(A43),(Ass),(Ahh),(J5,J7)), so i just need 14% FE.

Are profitable raise here? Or the better joice is just call?

5 Comments

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one.last.mix 7 years, 6 months ago

Hi Man! I think raising is the best option, if you have even a little bit of a feeling that just this opponent might once in a while fold to your raise. Otherwise just call IMO.

plolearnerguy 7 years, 6 months ago

I like a call. We are in position and should be able to make pretty good river decisions.

Flop is a clear fold.

keegslacroix 7 years, 6 months ago

Lmao flop is no way a clear fold. That is way too nitty and way too exploitable if you fold 2nd NFD and backdoor SD and FD on the flop. Flop is definitely one that we should continue on every time IP

222k 7 years, 5 months ago

I like call here.
There is not much value raise range here and we don't block any V's value hands.
Some slowplayed JJ and J8+good draw, maybe with some 88.

I feel It will be overbluff if we bluff this hand.
I'll raise here with at least one nut fd or + wrap. ( ocassionaly with OESD) or with J ( Top Set Blocker)

Cory Mikesell 7 years, 5 months ago

Upon reflection, I think I prefer a flat with this hand on the turn. An important data point to keep in mind is that the flop was 3 ways with a player UTG and one in MP. That should constrain MP's stabbing range somewhat OTT. It's easy to forget that we are facing a range that should be meaningfully stronger than if this had just been MP vs BTN so be vigilant about that in game. Your opponent should also be incentivized to bluff you when his FD misses and the other hits. Fortunately, you have both. Your gutter should have fantastic implied odds as well.

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