OOP w\ gutter+NFD (3b pot) HU [PLO50]

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OOP w\ gutter+NFD (3b pot) HU [PLO50]

Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (5 Players) SB: $131.38 (Hero)
BB: $52.89
UTG: $67.01
CO: $49.00
BN: $8.30
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is SB with J A A Q
UTG folds, CO raises to $1.50, BN folds, Hero raises to $5.00, BB folds, CO calls $3.50
Flop ($10.50) T 8 3
Hero bets $6.75, CO calls $6.75
Turn ($24.00) T 8 3 7
Hero checks, CO bets $18.75, Hero

here is a hand vs tight and rather aggressive regular.
stats: CO open of 25% fold 2 3bet 26% (IP)
fold vs flop cbet 55%, turn bet IP vs missed (3b pot) - 56%

on 7h turn he shouldn't have too many (nut) straights, as he should only call 9J w\ some additional equity on the flop. we need 30% to call OTT, we do have 23% vs current nuts.

any thoughts? can we find enough arguments for barreling vs checking OTT?

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