(Zoom $25) OOP, single raised pot, on the river backdoor flush arrived.

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(Zoom $25) OOP, single raised pot, on the river backdoor flush arrived.

CO: Jon Doe: $0
BN: BTN: $111.38
SB: SB: $81.50
BB: BB: $96.24
UTG: Hero: $109.08
LJ: MP: $55.60
HJ: CO: $114.68
he is unknown..
Preflop ($0.70) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt J 7 8 8
Hero raises to $1.50, MP folds, CO folds, BTN calls $1.50, SB folds, BB folds
I removed premium hands and AAxx because he didn`t 3bet me
I thought he has some good rundowns or set mining..
If he loose, probably has some kind of speculative hands.
Flop ($3.70) 9 T 7 (2 Players)
Hero bets $2.64, BTN calls $2.64, Jon Doe bets, Jon Doe calls
I got a nut in a rainbow flop so I didn`t bet pot-size.
when he call, maybe has some weak combo draw or a set..
Turn ($8.98) A (2 Players)
Hero bets $8.60, BTN calls $8.60, Jon Doe calls
He called again, I was curious,
and I thought he still has weak range or got some back up like.. a flush draw
River ($26.18) 3 (2 Players)
Jon Doe checks

I need a advice on the river decision. 

bet-fold? bet-call? check-call? check-fold? 

I`m also curious how you think his range from pre-flop to river.. 

thank you for your advice.. it will be very helpful for me! : )


3 Comments

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midori 10 years, 9 months ago

Hey man, welcome to the forum.

It seems like there's a problem with the HH, but I'm gonna assume that this is a HU pot against BTN.  Given that we are super deep and this hand was played at $25 Zoom, I think I'd bet/fold river.

Reasons for betting:

- For the most part it's a value bet, I think he can still call you down with a worse straight (86) or sometimes a set.  At these stakes people just don't like to fold, so you shouldn't underestimate their calling frequency.

- He can have some missed draws, but it's hard for him to have one without a SDV, so he will happily check back those instead of bluffing with them.  If you bet though, he might call with those.

- Because of the above, I think you should bet smaller than the pot, something around 1/2 to 3/5 psb.

Reasons for bet/folding:

- He can have some backdoored clubs, some of which he can raise your river bet for value.  But with a mediocre backdoor flush, he might just call you.

- Like I said above, he can have tons of SDV hands.  That said, this is a spot where people don't bluff very much.  I also don't think most people play J8 in a complicated way like this, especially at $25 Zoom.  Which means, when you get raised here, your hand is probably no good anymore.

So yeah, I'd bet/fold river and be happy about it.  I think it just plays better than any other option.

- midori

busisi 10 years, 9 months ago

Hi midori, thaks for your great advice. it`s very helpful :D

this HH has problem I didn`t check it before post.. it`s my fault : ( 

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