Observed spot from vid: BvB, check/call on paired turn: what's most common hand you see shown here?
Posted by nhx
Posted by nhx posted in Low Stakes
Observed spot from vid: BvB, check/call on paired turn: what's most common hand you see shown here?
This is from an observed hand from an elite pro vid.
6-max, 100bb effective. Both players are TAG-ish and not doing anything crazy.
Hand is folded to the blinds. SB opens for 3x big blinds, BB calls.
pot 6bb's
Flop: TA7r
SB bets 4.5bb's, BB calls.
pot 15bb's
Turn: TA7Tr
SB checks, BB bets 9bb's, SB calls.
For sake of discussion let's just say BB has QKJ9r and is taking a stab at the turn.
And let's assume SB isn't check/calling here to do something like bluff raise river or anything out of the ordinary. He has something whether it's a made hand/some kind of showdown value, or draw.
What type of hands do you expect a TAG SB to be check/calling here with, in this spot? Which hands do you think a competent opponent never really has by check/calling a paired turn?
I'm posting this because in the vid the pro says his hand is pretty face-up once he check/calls. So if a check/call range here is face-up, what's most commonly showing up in this range? Intuitively I think I see a lot of AK, AQ, AJ here, and some 89. I think most straightforward players will bet FH/trips here, and A7 has a lot of incentive to barrel a straight draw off the turned T here. But beyond that, my best guess is pretty fuzzy here.
Thoughts? Thanks!
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