Nut FD + OESD vs Squeezed Flop OOP
Posted by AlexSatri
Posted by
AlexSatri
posted in
Low Stakes
Nut FD + OESD vs Squeezed Flop OOP
Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players)
BN: $38.36
SB: $9.93
BB: $15.66 (Hero)
UTG: $12.20
MP: $6.79
CO: $18.74
SB: $9.93
BB: $15.66 (Hero)
UTG: $12.20
MP: $6.79
CO: $18.74
Preflop
($0.15)
Hero is BB with
6
4
A
6
, , , , ,
Flop
($0.45)
7
5
Q
, , ,
Can we stack-off MW with this hand flop profitably? I ran a math on a scenario when I raise pot and GII against BN having QQ and it came out as +EV (EV=$2.36 actually), but even though I'd like to hear some inputs on this because against trips we have 40% Equity here OTF and I am not so sure about this.
Also, is calling a mistake?
Loading 5 Comments...
hey Alex,
i would just call OTF – you have position and you close the action.
(and i would consider to just fold pre-flop) ..but i´m a beginner, so it could be a wrong assumption :-)
Thanks for the input, Georg!
I agree with folding pre, I'd do that for sure, but it was a limped pot and I was in the big blind, and after post-flop I will not be closing the action because still there are two players left after me, and I will be OOP during the whole thing haha
IP and closing the action it will be a lot easier to decide between calling and raising depending on villain type for sure!
In general, a good start to analysing hand histories is to read the hand history.
Can't stack off in a limped in pot with this holding, no. Chances are if someone wants to go broke with an SPR of 30 they have top set. You are getting 1.75:1 to see the turn and have 11 nut outs. We know 45 cards so you are 34:11 or basically 3:1 against turning the nuts. I don't hate a call because we do have some hidden outs and there is a very good chance we go to the turn three way, in which case we will be getting almost enough pot odds and have some pretty good implied odds, but I'm leaning towards folding the flop.
Definitely calling. No point in raising as you'd scare away weaker flush draws. If it gets repotted by mp/co and even shoved by btn I'm calling. Multiway is good because you get better odds and 3w all in your likely dominate a flush draw or, even better, 2 players have sets/2p+draw and block each others boat outs.
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