non nut FD+BDFD in 3BP vs AA
Posted by EdgeKing
Posted by EdgeKing posted in Low Stakes
non nut FD+BDFD in 3BP vs AA
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players)
BN: $75.80 (Hero)
SB: $57.59
BB: $20.54
UTG: $91.01
MP: $54.71
CO: $53.40
SB: $57.59
BB: $20.54
UTG: $91.01
MP: $54.71
CO: $53.40
Preflop
($0.75)
Hero is BN with
J
Q
8
A
, , , ,
Flop
($17.25)
T
4
3
,
Villain has 3bet twice over 650 hands, plays 45/8, so we can very easily assume that he has AA here.
Now this spot is kinda gross, we need 43% equity to GII, yet have only 40,5% against all AA combined.
Having no reads on his sizing (whether he uses a smaller sizing for AA+NFD or possibly AA with no spades (I see people doing a lot of weird stuff in these spots) this seems like a close-ish fold, which once we can discount AA+NFD/SNFD becomes an easy GII spot.
Do we fold and move on?
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