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mid Set. IP . super drawy bord.

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

mid Set. IP . super drawy bord.

BN: $26.09 (Hero)
SB: $56.59
BB: $19.58
UTG: $25
HJ: $35.02
CO: $25
Preflop ($0.35) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt 7 J K J
UTG folds, HJ raises to $0.85, CO folds, Hero calls $0.85, SB folds, BB calls $0.60
Flop ($2.65) J 6 A (3 Players)
BB checks, HJ bets $2.53, Hero calls $2.53, BB folds
Turn ($7.71) J 6 A Q (2 Players)
HJ bets $7.36, Hero calls $7.36
River ($22.43) J 6 A Q K (2 Players)
HJ checks, Hero bets $15.35, and is all in
mp is 68\14
mp openrange 9%
cb 75, turn 49%, river 47% wtsd 25 3k+hands
saw him potting (as PFR) ones or twice - but no SD

basically, i wanted to hear opinion on each street, he is what i was up too:
flop - he isnt manic - raising here - would be +ev only if he stack of AJ no spades + he has aces too often with his open range and we'vegot no blockers

turn - was thinking long during the hand, now its like call is only option. we are not making him fold aces and simply staking off vs better hands. period

river - dont think "ew ve got SD value" or "he is making trap too often" is about this spot
*river x/fold 80% (50 samples)

i'm just pretty exited i didnt shoved it OTF or turn and called it cooler - but maybe one has another opinion on the hand
any feedback appreciated

3 Comments

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plodojo 12 years ago
Ok flop & pf is fine. Turn I generally stack off there, but I don't know if that's right tbh? I don't see why he HAS to have AAxx. He can still have hand's you beat that will stack off and you still have equity when behind. River - I don't think you have to put this in your river bluff range. I also think he calls it much more than other hands he has folded in the past that make up that statistic. I think you are looking at the statistic a little too much and not the board texture especially as it's unlikely you shove a straight on a flush card, he can definitely bet a flush draw plus made hand twice then c/c it on the river, c/c a straight and at these stakes maybe even AAxx etc.
JimmyGlass 12 years ago
i also used to think only on shoving OTT here. BUT, what are worst hands calling here? yeah, we have nice equity vs most of hands, but his range seems to be really narrow and extremely strong. even when we shove and he calls with aces (i still think its buttom of his range here) - we are way behind.
other problem is - what to do on different turn depending of his action.and frankly saying, i still have no clear answer

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