Micro bet into a very wet board
Posted by Dmi3
Posted by
Dmi3
posted in
Low Stakes
Micro bet into a very wet board
HJ: $143.30 (Hero)
CO: $268.90
BN: $21.50
SB: $62.45
BB: $100
UTG: $40.25
CO: $268.90
BN: $21.50
SB: $62.45
BB: $100
UTG: $40.25
This is rush game. Do not have may notes on the villain, but stats suggest he is loose and aggressive, playing 46/24/8.2 with an AF of 4.5 over 250 hands
Preflop
($1.50)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
J
9
A
K
UTG folds, Hero raises to $3, CO raises to $10.50, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds, Hero calls $7.50
UTG folds, Hero raises to $3, CO raises to $10.50, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds, Hero calls $7.50
Thoughts on calling the 3-bet here? Given 8% 3-be frequency, I feel aces are not a great part of his range + given the nutty components, I feel this is a straightforward hand to play, even OOP
Flop
($22.50)
8
J
7
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
CO bets $3,
Hero calls $3
obviously a scary board, but given the bet size, it is very unlikely he has the straight here (this was probably a misclick, although I have seen players do this to shove after a raise).
Turn
($28.50)
8
J
7
9
(2 Players)
Is checking an option here? He has a 91% cbet frequency on turns, so likely that he would fire a second barrel and if he does, do I call or raise?
As always, thoughts on all streets very welcome.
Thank you in advance.
Loading 5 Comments...
Flop, I think calling is best given the sick pot odds he's laying you. Plus this bet is a little weird and I'd like to get to SD here if at all possible to get an idea of what he's trying to do w/ this bet.
Turn I'd just check/call again and make some decisions on rivers. I don't think it's necessary to lead Tx+ on the turn, simply because a) that opens you up to getting exploited pretty hard when you check and b) over half of the river's change the texture and you'll have to check/guess very frequently and likely get outplayed a bit. Also if he's following through on turn 91% of the time, your doing really well vs that range and with spades,J,9 covered, I think there is more value from his future air combinations on rivers, rather than leading or ch/ring turn to protect.
I dont see much value in raising. Your actually shutting out hands that are worse then yours and will only get action from sets+straights basically. His weird size is just that, weird, but still if you just call, you can keep in lower flushdraws and worse hands basically.
On turn, I would problably check and re-evaluate depending on his betsizeing on turn.
1) with 3bet >8 this is a board that hits villain pretty hard and him having a straight is pretty likely (his micro bet otf not meaning much at all)
2) even against dry QT ott we have ~30% equity and we are not very likely going to be bluffed otr on this kind of board. Most villains will go for showdown with mediocre SD value hands. Of course there might be an occasional 3-barrel in there, but then again, there will be occasional nuts for us on the river to make that "hero" call ;)
As played, we totally turn our hand to a bluffcatcher, so check-call and decide on the river.
On a side note, I really doubt anyone (apart from the very top regulars of PL1k+) can show a profit on PL100 playing with 46 VPIP, so treat this guy as an aggro fish.
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