Lucky fish or good AA play?

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Lucky fish or good AA play?

Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players) UTG: $75.86
MP: $74.92
CO: $50.00
BN: $63.69
SB: $66.42
BB: $102.42 (Hero)
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is BB with A A 7 3
UTG raises to $1.75, 4 folds, Hero raises to $5.50, UTG calls $3.75
Flop ($11.25) Q 5 4
Hero bets $8.00, UTG raises to $25.62

Betting flop good or is checking better? stacking off with gutshot okay?

3 Comments

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Emty 4 years, 10 months ago

I think going ahead and c-betting is for sure the right play. Our opponent should not connect often with this board if he opens a standard EP range. We actually do have a double gutter and a BDFD. So betting and stacking off should definitely be our preferred line here.
Once we get deeper we mostly have to call the raise and re-evaluate on certain Turnrunouts!

Emty 4 years, 10 months ago


Hey wowsick , good question!
It seems that we are quite at the tipping point of stack-off equity needed and our stack depth.
Assuming that we have no fold EQ; we need to pay another 62$ into a pot of ~150$. Our required equity would therefore be 41.3%. Against his get it in range we have around 40.5%. Again, this only counts if we expect our opponent never to fold. Deeper than 150bb we should continue by calling the raise.

Hope that helps,
Emty

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