live hand 5/10/25

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live hand 5/10/25

In the 25 straddle with 4k.

Button is a tightish reg pro but isn't much of a plo player. He's not tricky. Straightforward. 

HJ opens to 75. button calls. I call bb with AKK2ss. 

Flop jh 7s 4c. (all 4k eff) pot = $240

The original raiser is an oldish guy who plays fit or fold against me post but spewy pre. 

I decide to lead 175. i would check fold this hand sometimes. check call sometimes. If neither player has a flop raising range other than JJxx.. Thoughts on leading and how it fits into our range post? 

button calls. pot  $600 Turn 2 c

He's never folding the turn and i don't think he has a turn raising range in this spot. other than a slowplayed JJxx.  I haven't ran any numbers but pretty sure i have greater than 50% eq vs his range but not sure. 

I bet 600. thoughts? And at this point what Rivers are u betting? I don't see him ever turning anything into a bluff vs me. He definitely thinks i'm capable and would expect him to look me up light some. 

Hand - going to the river 

$1800 Jh 7s 4c ..... 2c 

Our hand is AKK2ss (Have the Kc as well) 

 


4 Comments

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hotkahuna2 10 years, 7 months ago

like the way you played it and the turn bet… not sure exactly what you are asking about the river… i think river value bet is to thin and you already stated that you dont expect him to be bluffing.  so check/fold right?

DirtyD 10 years, 7 months ago
Value bet a K obviously, also value bet a 2, bluff on clubs, otherwise check-decide I guess. I can see the idea behind leading this hand...it's likely you're best, but you don't want to check-call a hand that basically can't improve. The problem is often you'll build a huge pot with a non-nutty hand that, again, can't improve, so rivers are going to be pretty tough.
themightyjim 10 years, 7 months ago
I like most of the strat, the problem is that so few rivers are blanks.  Either we improve or we're x/guessing.  If villain doesn't turn some weak SD value into a bluff on a blank then it's not a huge problem.  But if the 8h hits on the river and we check is he going to check back AJxxcc?  if he's not going to turn weak SD value into a bluff then we're in pretty good shape.  If he's going to bet when checked to with most of his range when we check the river on cards that don't improve us we've built a big pot with a relatively weak hand to end up guessing on the river.  Not something I love.


AVC 10 years, 7 months ago

What his range from flatting you twice and the Pot size bet on the turn? I would be pretty scared on the river, so c/ folding seems the way to go on most Rivers I think.

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