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Line check. BB defend, turning into bluff OTR

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Line check. BB defend, turning into bluff OTR

Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players) BN: $61.37
SB: $50.00
BB: $56.30 (Hero)
UTG: $187.76
MP: $104.72
CO: $31.50
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is BB with 8 7 Q J
2 folds, CO raises to $1.75, 2 folds, Hero calls $1.25
CO 42\20 over 50hands
cbet OTF 5\6
cbet OTT 0\2

cant say yet how aggro he is.
Flop ($3.75) 5 Q 4
Hero checks, CO checks
Turn ($3.75) 5 Q 4 K
Hero checks, CO bets $3.56, Hero calls $3.56
River ($10.87) 5 Q 4 K 7
Hero checks, CO bets $6.50, Hero raises to $29.25
we're putting him AI

pre I'd assume is standard.
flop. there could be an argument for leading I guess, bet-folding suck tho. so, check, planning to x\call can't see reason for x\r.

ott. leading doesn't accomplish much (or maybe it does?)
~14 unclear outs vs Kx, when he pots, it's rather close IMO, we have ~25% vs naked TP, need 33%, I decided that there are enough implied odds and chance of him potting JT\JT9.

otr, we do beat some pure bluffs, but I doubt that he bets them 1\2 PSB, this sizing more indicates thin(-ish) value. We have blocker, his line is not super creadible (but 63 easily in his range), so I decided it's good spot to go for it.

any thougths?

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