Leading on draw-heavy bord getting raised. Equity calc

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Leading on draw-heavy bord getting raised. Equity calc

Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players) BN: $55.44
SB: $62.14
BB: $107.08
UTG: $38.19
MP: $73.67 (Hero)
CO: $55.45
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is MP with 6 9 7 8
UTG calls $0.50, Hero calls $0.50, CO folds, BN raises to $2.75, 2 folds, UTG calls $2.25, Hero calls $2.25
Flop ($9.00) 8 9 2
UTG checks, Hero bets $7.00, BN raises to $29.55, UTG folds, Hero raises to $70.92 and is all in, BN calls $23.14 and is all in

*110bb effective

I wounder what you range assumptions would be and with what equity you come up with?
here is mine

seems like way too good to be true
intuitively, I would expect us to have 45-48%, fliping at best

4 Comments

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HelloImWayne 8 years, 10 months ago

I agree with a large part of your villain range, but to get 64% eq is generous on your part or a mistake, we have put 22+ which means you think villain is going to shove 33,44,55 etc which he isnt and i don't see many 92s in his range often. We have no spades or clubs in our hand and we block 99,88. So the range i put villain on is 22,JT:cc,JT9Q,Acc:(9,8,2),cc,9:cc,9TJQ:(cc,ss) which gives villain 48.5%.

JimmyGlass 8 years, 10 months ago

we have put 22+ which means you think villain is going to shove
33,44,55 etc

hey, doesn't it just mean that he GII w\ all sets when we put 22+?
in PJ it works this way if remember it right.

and ,cc, - you have him shoving all of the club draws? seems not reasonable and why then we would need 9:cc?

HelloImWayne 8 years, 10 months ago

I don't use PJ so i dont know that, i use PPT and i would say 22+ is any pair, if i put the same range in but put 22+ instead of 22 is the it give villain range 37% instead of 48%.

Note - yea looking back villian isnt going to shove any club.

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