KK BNFD on low rundown 50ZPLO

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KK BNFD on low rundown 50ZPLO

BN: $70.24
SB: $91.66 (Hero)
BB: $60.79
UTG: $49.77
HJ: $33.33
CO: $50
Preflop ($0.75) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt A K Q K
UTG folds, HJ raises to $1.50, CO folds, BN calls $1.50, Hero raises to $5.25, BB folds, HJ calls $3.75, BN calls $3.75
Flop ($16.50) 6 6 8 (3 Players)
Hero bets $7.50, HJ folds, BN calls $7.50
I think this sizing is big enough to get folds, I obv expect all 6xxx hands to call, even hands like 5789/4578 would probably see a turn for this sizing.
Turn ($31.50) 6 6 8 T (2 Players)
Hero checks, BN bets $6.50, Hero calls $6.50
I decide to check/call as I stated above, hes clearly betting all hes str8/sixes
River ($44.50) 6 6 8 T 3 (2 Players)
Hero checks, BN bets $15.50

I think the turn and river sizing is a bit weird if he has it. Do you guys think the flop bet is reasonable? 

I'm calling the turn due to the size, I do however know that I have to fold some rivers :') But not quite sure about this 3s.

3 Comments

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microcrusher 11 years, 2 months ago

Hi,

OOP I would have prefer a larger bet (80/85%). If called I would have checked the (fold to CBET). With the T I m done. C/F except if I have the proof that IP he floats a lot.

My 2 cents.

SnowmanMOT 11 years, 2 months ago

Hi Fyrsten :)

Preflop is not my standard to raise OOP this deep, with a hand that does fine multiway and is unlikely to generate folds, but see what everyone else thinks (not saying it's bad, but I would play it differently)

On the flop I think the bet sizing is fine (maybe slightly too small). I'd expect all overpairs to call, which you're doing fine against and obv all wraps, 6x and maybe an 8 and a straight draw type hand and I don't think (as long as you do 3b good rundowns in this spot) villains will float you with air.

With the 10 hitting on the turn, I think it's an easy x/f. This card connects so well with his range and I don't think he will turn a hand like qqxx or jjxx into a bluff here. I expect him to put you on aaxx and be trying to give you an excuse to call with a really small bet with his boat, straight or trips.

You gave no stats on the player, so I don't know if he's a good reg or a fish but in my experience a common hand for a fish to have with those bet sizings is a naked 6 or the 97 straight.

Fyrsten 11 years, 2 months ago

Yeah I kinda agree that the turn is most often a fold, I did however end up calling. I only remember that he had a VPIP on the higher side like 60%~

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