Interesting turn spot in wild home game: middle set and NFB 4 way
Posted by Daniel Weinman
Posted by Daniel Weinman posted in High Stakes
Interesting turn spot in wild home game: middle set and NFB 4 way
Hero is dealt Ac Ts Th 8h
SB: $15k
BB: $12k
Hero: $40k
BTN: $30k
Button straddles for $200, SB calls $200, BB calls $200, Hero (HJ) calls $200, BTN raises to $500, everyone calls $300 more.
(Pot $2,000)
Flop: Ks Tc 3c
SB leads $2000, BB calls $2000, Hero calls $2000, BTN calls $2000.
*SB has been very passive thus far. given that we have the Ac, I'd guess his leading range 4 ways is exclusively KKxx, KTxx, 33xx, although I'd discount a fair amount of the 33xx hands although he's probably playing 70% vpip*
(Pot $10,000)
Turn: Ks Tc 3c 6s
SB bets $5000, BB calls $5000, Hero???
All options seemed pretty viable at this point. I do think that SB's bet of 5k instead of pot weights him away from KKxx, but I'm not sure about this as it's my first time playing w/ him.
CALLING:
Combo-wise it seems we'll have the best hand on the turn > 50% if SB leads 33xx twice. However in a 4 way pot, we're going to be up against a wrap+FD almost always. My only concern with calling and bluffing clubs is that I thought it would be pretty unlikely for SB or BB to fold Kxcc on the river getting what would be close to 6:1 odds. They were both stuck large amounts as well, which I think would greatly reduce my fold equity on the river.
JAMMING:
Can fold out BTN's weak draws, and will likely get it in vs SB's value heavy range and BB's draw. At the same time, we're looking to avoid playing huge pots that could completely change the tilty dynamic of the game. Hero is a bit under-rolled for the game, and would prefer to avoid taking 50-60k flips when there are tons of spots looking to give it away.
FOLDING:
Reduces variance a bit, keeps a few of the players stuck who we want stuck. But can we give up this much equity with 2nd nuts?
After writing all this down it seems to be a pretty clear jam, but interested in some other opinions.
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