HU PLO 300bb deep, Simple? River Decision
Posted by TJ Serdar
Posted by
TJ Serdar
posted in
Low Stakes
HU PLO 300bb deep, Simple? River Decision
In 3bet pots, he has a pretty healthy checking range, usually ch/f or ch/ca, again, focusing on that equity realization/bluff catching strategy. He tends to bet his air in 3bet pots on textures that hit his range harder than mine(422/AJ6r).
I have been pretty barrel happy in these spots so far in the match, both in single and 3bet pots after he's given up the initiative. He has bluff caught me on the river pretty wide in a few instances, some right some wrong. I couldn't find any GTO stuff he was doing with his hands when deciding to call, ie " board is K84Q7 river is 3rd flush card, he ch/calls with his Q8** 1 flush card blocker." He pretty much does it whenever he feels like I'm bluffing, or more likely to be bluffing.
Effective stacks 140.00
Hero raises btn KsTc9c8h to 1.50, Villain 3bets to 4.50, Hero calls
Flop 9h3d2c(9.00)
Villain checks, Hero bets 6.00 Villain calls
Turn 8d(21.00)
Villain checks, Hero 16.00 Villain calls
River Qc(53.00)
Villain checks, Hero(112.00 eff) ?
Thoughts on all streets and this river decision appreciated.
Loading 1 Comments...
overall id say pretty standard on the turn, but i'm not sure why you bet on the flop, i wouldn't but you did so.... maybe betting a little less on both streets, for more than anything just if you get raised you cant beat anything other than a bluff basically, so you want to make it cheaper to fold, and cheaper tp bluff in later situations.
If you were indeed to bet your normal size river bet. i cant actually think what would call that you have beat, considering you 3 barrelled it, so whats calling you down?? straight, (although its raising), a better 2 pair might fold so there's some value in that but other than that its just sets, but i cant see what sets are being played this way...so by betting your normal size you only get called by, a better 2 pair and some very weirdly played sets, everything else is folding or raising..
all that said, considering how he played it, when he checks a third time, the villain either has an over pair or is check raising. so depending on your reads, if he doesn't check raise all that much, (so most of the time when he hits his hands he leads etc) then i think you should try and bet small enough that his top top or over pair can call, as long as you can say if he has a straight hes not checking the river then your ok to bet small, somewhere in the neighborhood of 1/4 pot or possibly 1/5, the problem with this is that it could induce a bluff raise, so you need to know your opponent.
so i actually just changed my mind twice as i wrote this but considering by betting you could get some better 2 pairs to fold (maybe), and i'm assuming he's raising his sets i think its a instant small river bet, but if he seems to like his check raises then just show it down
please heart if you liked it, and let me know where i went wrong if you didnt...
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