HU can we value bet with straigt on river that completes flush?
Posted by lofigr
Posted by
lofigr
posted in
Low Stakes
HU can we value bet with straigt on river that completes flush?
BB: $103.90
SB: $82.15 (Hero)
SB: $82.15 (Hero)
Villain is calling station. Calls with any 2 pairs on the most wet board on the world. I rarely 3-bet pre....
Preflop
($0.75)
(2 Players)
Hero was dealt
8
K
K
9
Hero raises to $1, BB raises to $3, Hero raises to $9, BB calls $6
Hero raises to $1, BB raises to $3, Hero raises to $9, BB calls $6
I got Kings with 89 nutty connectors when medium cards hit board + K hi flush. These Kings are not so strong, but HU I decided to 4-bet 1st time in this match....
Flop
($19.75)
Q
7
T
(2 Players)
BB checks,
Hero bets $18,
BB calls $18
Have probably 2 nut gutters: 6 & J as I don't expect him to have AK as I have KK (blockers).
I have over pair and even if he has QT, I am not in that bad shape as I can improve (7, BB, K, J , 6).
I c-bet IP, especially when he checks....
I have over pair and even if he has QT, I am not in that bad shape as I can improve (7, BB, K, J , 6).
I c-bet IP, especially when he checks....
Turn
($55.75)
Q
7
T
2
(2 Players)
BB checks,
Hero checks
I decided to check back as I really did not want to deal with c/r. Cheaply see the river - evaluate - see his move - act properly....
River
($55.75)
Q
7
T
2
6
(2 Players)
BB checks
Now he shows weakness. He is not capable for c/r as he would be afraid of lost value when I check back river.
Are we value betting here and what would be the size?
tip: Villain calls with any set (that he doesn't have) and any 2 pairs...
ty
Loading 3 Comments...
Yes I think you should value bet here for a number of reasons....
A. You said he was the best calling station in the world.
B. you built a big pot for a reason, I imagine it was to bleed this guy's stack dry.
C. Your hand is played exactly like it is (AAxx or KKxx), but you hit a homerun with your side cards.
Since he is a calling station I would try to get as much from him as I could, I would go for 1/2 pot, 1/3 pot is too small vs a calling station, get what you can. Does this guy ever call a pot bet with just two pair?
You should be potting this turn 100% of the time the way this hand was played prior. A 2 is a great card for you and with 1PSB left its an easy jam. Don't give villain a free card. Too many rivers will put you in tough spot where you might fold incorrectly or not get value from hands you would have on turn or lose to some weak 2 pair he might fold on turn.
ty guys
@Polar everything correct... he calls everything with two pairs, I think if I pot here - he calls ~75%, but I wanted to be 100% sure he calls so I was asking about bet size here... I bet 1/2 pot and he called...
@Jason you r probably right.. in fact - I did not defend turn, I probably should have. I checked turn and then not perfect card hit the river, although I can not complain about it I guess ;)
he had Q658 non spade hand and hit 2 pairs on river
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