how can he know enough odds(28%) to call allin ?
Posted by Tang8ohu
Posted by
Tang8ohu
posted in
Mid Stakes
how can he know enough odds(28%) to call allin ?
BN: $65.77
SB: $100 (Hero)
BB: $104.16
UTG: $267.84
HJ: $63.82
CO: $241.52
SB: $100 (Hero)
BB: $104.16
UTG: $267.84
HJ: $63.82
CO: $241.52
Preflop
($1.50)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
A
2
A
7
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO raises to $3, BN folds, Hero calls $2.50, BB raises to $12, CO calls $9, Hero raises to $48, BB folds, CO calls $36
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO raises to $3, BN folds, Hero calls $2.50, BB raises to $12, CO calls $9, Hero raises to $48, BB folds, CO calls $36
Flop
($112.00)
K
5
4
(2 Players)
Hero bets $52, and is all in,
CO calls $52
Opponent is profitable Reg at this game,how can he know there was enough odds(28%) to call allin at this spot,how does odds working here? I can't believe 28% odds for opponent which 3 gunshot outs and back Flash Draws.
Turn
($216.00)
K
5
4
T
(2 Players)
River
($216.00)
K
5
4
T
8
(2 Players)
Final Pot
Hero has
A
2
A
7
CO has
Q
6
T
8
CO
wins $209.20
Opponent is profitable Reg at this game,how can he know there was enough odds(28%) to call allin at this spot,how does odds working here? I can't believe 28% odds for opponent which 3 gunshot outs and back Flash Draws.
Loading 9 Comments...
Just because he is a profitable reg =! he doesn't make big mistakes....right?
Looks to me like he made a too loose (bad) call.
i agree with sted9000 run better next time
Needs to be 24.7%, is 26.3% against AA**. Seems fine to me.
To me his play looks fine. He ends up in a dumb spot when he calls the 3bet and you shove but at this point he has too much money invested and can perfectly track you down to AA to get away from his hand I think.
Assuming you 3bet some of your better AA preflop, he can estimate his pot odds (assuming you shove) on the flop as 52/(52+112) ~ 32% and then plot his hand vs your AA range and see on how many boards he flops more equity than those 32%. From my estimation he does so almost 2/3 of the time which is way way higher than the pot odds he's currently getting preflop: 36/(3+48+12+36) ~ 36%
It's true that he technically puts more money in with the worse hand but he has enough money invested to the point where folding and passing on his equity share is the bigger mistake.
Correct me if I'm wrong though. ;)
if the question "how he knows...." on any site that has a time bank, there is enough time to press time and then go to PPT and put in his hand vs AA. aaaand if he didnt do that...then he probably just pressed call bc "hey, ive got a gut shot"
why he has so much equity? its omaha, u block none of his draws and you only have 1 pair
pre-flop is pretty loose. i would fold the first time
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