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Flushdaw and overpair

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Flushdaw and overpair

Hey guys!

Got a situation where I found myself 50/50 on calling or folding because I was unsure what was right.
But think folding is the right play here.
The question I got is how much equity do I need to ship it on this flop?

PokerStars - $0.25 PL Hi (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 4 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

BB: $80.36 (VPIP: 20.73, PFR: 14.63, 3Bet Preflop: 5.26, Hands: 84)
Hero (CO): $28.68
BTN: $110.55 (VPIP: 32.48, PFR: 24.79, 3Bet Preflop: 15.22, Hands: 117)
SB: $25.00 (VPIP: 36.36, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 45)

SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has Ks Ad Tc Kd
Hero raises to $0.85, fold, SB calls $0.75, BB raises to $3.40, Hero calls $2.55, SB calls $2.55

Flop : ($10.20, 3 players) 4h 7d 6d
SB bets $9.77, fold, fold

SB wins $9.77

1 Comment

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Hannibal 9 years, 8 months ago

It's looks like SB is committed when he leads into two players like this, so we need to invest 21,6 (SB's remaing stack) to win 53,4 (21,6 + 21,6 + 10,20) that would be ~40,5%

Against a range of sets, top two and T98x we have 38,7%. That increases a tiny bit when most likely two (non-diamond) aces are dead. (folded by BB)

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