flopping trips w\ aces kikker, facing action
Posted by JimmyGlass
Posted by
JimmyGlass
posted in
Low Stakes
flopping trips w\ aces kikker, facing action
SB: $44.07
BB: $29
UTG: $52.76 (Hero)
HJ: $123.22
CO: $47.12
BN: $61.22
BB: $29
UTG: $52.76 (Hero)
HJ: $123.22
CO: $47.12
BN: $61.22
BTN is 65\15 no reads
SB 72\15, aggro post flop, raise vs cbet 20% - ~400 hands
SB 72\15, aggro post flop, raise vs cbet 20% - ~400 hands
Preflop
($0.75)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
9
T
6
A
Hero raises to $1.50, HJ folds, CO folds, BN calls $1.50, SB calls $1.25, BB calls $1
Hero raises to $1.50, HJ folds, CO folds, BN calls $1.50, SB calls $1.25, BB calls $1
Flop
($6.00)
K
9
9
(4 Players)
SB checks,
BB checks,
Hero bets $3.75,
BN calls $3.75,
SB raises to $20.73,
BB folds
with given stats - could we ever get away folding.
sb's raise% is high, but just couple hundreeds hands so far... +Kings are definitely in BTN calling pre range and he calling otf mostly
Loading 4 Comments...
If we can count on SB being rational in multiway pots, the logic should go something like this:
- You're never pure-bluffing, and you're saying that you often have trips+
- BTN absolutely has something and trips+ is likely
- So SB should never raise less than trips+ for value, and very rarely bluff
Let's give him a 30%6h!AA preflop flatting range (guessing). Against the trips+ from that range, 30%6h!AA:(KK,9), you are 25.4%. And you still have BTN to worry about. So based on rational thinking, you can find a fold.
And if a 72/15 player bluffs you out of the pot by taking all these things into careful consideration and going to the next level, you're just damn unlucky. ;-)
thanks for feedback
if he had Q instead of 6? is it getting any closer?
Our equity improves a little: 27.1%. But it doesn't change a lot.
this is clear spot to fold imo.
you have to worry about the BTN and SB will Never has a draw in that spot.
the best case that you can face is : SB has 9x or 9A and BTN has some sort of draw, but it looks super rare to me in this spot. I would give him a credit for raising with KKxx or K9xx for the max value and fold it.
Be the first to add a comment