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Flopped trips, should I go for 3rd street of value?

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

Flopped trips, should I go for 3rd street of value?

LJ: Jon Doe: $0
HJ: Robbiegol: $255.60
CO: Wahesch: $566.15
BN: hero: $481.50
SB: turegubb1: $187.60
BB: Problematiq: $120
UTG: lucky accident: $181.50
Preflop ($9.00) (6 Players)
hero was dealt A T Q Q
Robbiegol folds, Wahesch raises to $18, hero calls $18, turegubb1 folds, Problematiq calls $12
Flop ($57.00) T 6 T (4 Players)
Problematiq checks, Wahesch checks, hero bets $30, Problematiq folds, Wahesch calls $30
Turn ($117.00) 2 (3 Players)
Wahesch checks, Jon Doe bets $84, Wahesch calls $84
River ($285.00) K (3 Players)

I had been caught taking stabs on lockdown boards with air. I put the villain on an overpair or worse trips but mostly on an overpair. I think he pays me with aa or any trips combo. The problem is I have an ace so kk is more likely.

Is checking back the river fine or am I losing too much value?

6 Comments

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ZachZeeBo 11 years, 6 months ago

Im not too üositive about that but I thnk we has to bet AT here. The board is a little too bricky imo. I would for sure checkback JT. Not sure about QT probably bet

ZachZeeBo 11 years, 6 months ago

Also what do you think if villaint has something like kjjx. About x/raising river. I find these often some god plays because its tough to call a river x/r with anything other than kt. Him blocking a k makes it less likely u have one. However if he x/r here he repsKT and kk only which is very well in his range obv. But not to many combinations.

skandalous 11 years, 6 months ago

I would have bet something like 220 on river leaving me with 160 behind. I dont think he would x/r this with anything but value. I dont think Im capable of folding to a x/r even if I probably should which is another reason why Im scared to bet.

lofigr 11 years, 6 months ago

J987 with hearts or AA[7-9]hh (though u block his potential AA) could have called u till river.

On river you got worse non-heart * card for value betting as on every heart but Ah & Qh * u can not value bet river.

AA is not calling u as u DO have T or KK when u value bet river.

I am not sure u would like to gamble that he :

 - does not have 66 (!), T6, TK, KK which r pretty much in his calling range ,

 same as J987 with hearts or AA[7-9]hh or hand like T987 ( with or without hearts).

It would be interesting if he would c/r u on river with hand like AAKhhB (B <> T) or hand like JT97hh.

Patrik Hirvonen 11 years, 6 months ago

Easy bet. you can get a call from all sorts of hands. To bet 220 is not good at all. I would bet around a third pot, calling a shove. By betting small you will get looked up light and occasionally he we shove as a bluff.

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