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Flopped Top Set w/gutshot straight draw vs FD

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Flopped Top Set w/gutshot straight draw vs FD

PLO 6-Max: $0.02/0.04

Me(UTG) $4.14
upupupwego03(CO) $1.62
Zhyolty(BTN) $1.66
malicciosa(SB) $8.47 - VP:67 PFR:4 AF:1.0 W:41|54 STL:15|100 3B:0|0 CB:100|50 N:9.13 Hands:48
ledi $(BB) $0.91

Pre Flop: Me(UTG) with [Qd,Qs,7d,9d]
Me(UTG) calls 0.04, upupupwego03(CO) folds, Zhyolty(BTN) folds, malicciosa(SB) calls 0.02, ledi $(BB) checks

Flop: (5c,8s,Qc) (3 players)
malicciosa(SB) checks, ledi $(BB) checks, Me(LP) bets 0.12, malicciosa(SB) calls 0.12, ledi $(BB) folds

Turn: Ad (2 players)
malicciosa(SB) checks, Me(LP) bets 0.36, malicciosa(SB) calls 0.36

River: 4h (2 players)
malicciosa(SB) bets 0.72, Me(LP) raises 3.24, malicciosa(SB) raises 5.04, Me(LP) calls 0.38

I wasn't initially worried about another straight draw vs the better flush draw. So on this river I continued with aggression thinking they would bluff me off their missed FD. Would anyone fold or call this river instead of shoving?

3 Comments

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Tom Coldwell 12 years ago
I'm confused. Are you saying you raised this river to induce a bluff-shove or because you think they have a lot of bluffs? Either way, I hate it - if you think they are bluffing a lot, then call and win. If you are trying to induce a 3-bet bluff here (which I think is pretty awful against most anyone in these games), can I suggest you don't do it with a raise size which leaves so little behind that villain can't believe he has fold equity.

In general, I think this is probably a fold on the river - although I don't know player tendencies at these stakes, my guess is they don't bluff a whole lot so this is probably the nuts super often. If I'm not folding, then I'm calling - I don't see value in a raise unless I have a crazy read.
lofigr 12 years ago
I am surprised he did not check-raise u on river (with nuts), as I am surprised u did not ask yourself what was his calling range for your flop and turn bets. U don't re-raise river (!) the same as you don't fold it (?)....
I am also surprised 5carab took 6 min to answer you question....

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