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Flop x/r NFD+GS, Turn b/c or?

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Flop x/r NFD+GS, Turn b/c or?

BN: $24
SB: $13.72
BB: $25 (Hero)
UTG: $20.70
HJ: $25
CO: $49.61
Preflop ($0.35) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt 9 A 2 J
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, BN raises to $0.75, SB folds, Hero calls $0.50
This is a continuation of my PLO25 saga. So BTN is a TAG reg stealing about 45% on the button and is a 4tabling zoom reg. He cbets about 73% over a large sample size so he should be pretty merged here with value/semibluffs. His 2nd barrel is at 77%. He has folded to x/r on the flop about one-third of the time over 15 x/r spots. As far as history, he has run super hot and won every single big pot we've played.

Anyways, we make the defend here and I choose to x/r the flop as we have fold equity and we have quite a few good turn cards we can barrel on. He calls which I think will be with a range of mostly overpair+fd, T7xx, combo draws. I think he would mostly 3bet any sets or T7xx+high fd so I remove almost all strong made hands from his range. The turn is a question mark for me. Assuming he jams over our bet with 45xx and 98xx, what should we do here?
Flop ($1.60) 7 3 T (2 Players)
Hero checks, BN bets $1, Hero raises to $3.20, BN calls $2.20
Turn ($8.00) 7 3 T 6 (2 Players)
Hero bets $7.66, BN raises to $20.05, and is all in, Hero calls $12.39
River ($48.10) 7 3 T 6 5 (2 Players)
Final Pot
Hero has 9 A 2 J BN has 7 K 9 8 BN wins $46.10

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