Flop situation with top of our range

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

Flop situation with top of our range

BN: $200
SB: $201
BB: $141.87
CO: $596.27 (Hero)
Preflop ($3.00) (4 Players)
Hero was dealt A 2 K A
Hero raises to $7, BN folds, SB calls $6, BB folds
Flop ($16.00) 4 7 J (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $10, SB raises to $42, Hero raises to $141.28, SB raises to $194, and is all in, Hero calls $52.72
2 scenarios:

1.) We have our initial hand. I dont like my flop 3bet because i bloc the 2nd Nutflushdraw and his range is imo pretty narrowed to 2pair+GS+FD, 2pair+FD, pair+FD+GS and mainly sets (JT9h8h,JTh9h8,JTh98h,JT97,JJ!10%$nt,7788,6677,45h6h7) as villain wasn´t very active before. Against this range we have 35% equity.

2.) If we didnt have the Kh we could add a few flushdraw combos, but still i´m not sure whether raise/call is a good move.
SB was an inconspicious player, seemed pretty regish for me though. 25/19 with no check/raises over his small sample of hands.

3 Comments

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sted9000 11 years, 11 months ago
I am torn in these spots as well. I feel like getting it in is slightly minus ev....so calling seems better. But when calling in these spots it seems like our opponent can play pretty well against us because our hand now looks like what it is (a mid to strongish draw). But we can also bluff when x'ed to a lot because a lot of non heart turns turn his 2p+ into bluff catchers. Right?
GameTheory 11 years, 11 months ago
I don't see how you can give him a range with so much JT98 type hands, every TAG reg 3-bets JT89 right?

I think these equities are quite close:

board: 4h7sJh
Hand Equity Wins Ties
Ah2sKhAd 50.44% 774,986 328
(20%!8%):(JJ,J[8-T][8-T]:hh!RR,J7:hh,J4:hh,QhQ:hh,89T:hh,56[3-8][3-8]:hh!RR,77,44) 49.56% 761,366 328

board: 4h7sJh
Hand Equity Wins Ties
Ah2sKhAd 48.48% 833,513 380
(24%!10%):(JJ,J[8-T][8-T]:hh!RR,J7:hh,J4:hh,QhQ:hh,89T:hh,56[3-8][3-8]:hh!RR,77,44) 51.52% 885,647 380

Removing the QQxx + fd your equity lowers to 42% in the 24%!10% case.
I would not like calling with this hand very much since we block both the Kh and the Ah so it is less likely we get action on hearts. Plus folding a blank turn might be a major mistake if he is on pair+gutshot+flushdraw type hands. I think you should rather call with a hand like AhQT6h since you can turn straightdraws on cards that make him scared with two pair and sets.
ZzzzzzzzZZzzzzzzz 11 years, 11 months ago
I dont think hes got many sets, board is draw-heavy, seems like a super std get it in on the flop. I believe that you don't have any other way of playing this hand against unknown in order not to make any mistakes and for your range not to be capped and exploitable. I get it in and make a note on his line. Than you can make conclusions and adjustments.

Having Kh might make his CR range somewhat flushdraw lighter but he does not have any other way of playing his wraps and pair+draw than CR.

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