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Flop boat in BB HU against LAG BN

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Flop boat in BB HU against LAG BN

Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (6 Players) BN: $7.01
SB: $6.91
BB: $9.75 (Hero)
UTG: $5.00
MP: $6.57
CO: $5.00
Preflop ($0.07) Hero is BB with 7 7 J 2
3 folds, BN raises to $0.10, SB folds, Hero calls $0.05
Good odds to flop a set although my hand is awful. BN is a LAG (not extreme) reg
Flop ($0.22) 7 5 5
Hero checks, BN bets $0.21, Hero calls $0.21
Mission accomplished.....hope he has an overpair or FD - don't want him to fold drawing to 2 outs
Turn ($0.64) 7 5 5 8
Hero checks, BN bets $0.31, Hero calls $0.31
Will he fold an overpair, str8 or FD if I raise here? I'd really like to build the pot but I don't want him to fold
River ($1.26) 7 5 5 8 3
Hero checks, BN bets $1.21
Ok - no scary overcards.....might have hit his flush. Should I pot it GII?

12 Comments

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EdgeKing 9 years, 9 months ago

Mate, it's PLO5. People don't like folding if they have good madehands or decent draws, you should know that best, having played at these stakes for quite a while. I highly doubt he is gonna fold any decent draw i f you c/r flop to 13bb, propably also call most overpairs and some 7x with redraws. Also you not having a 5 in your hand is quite significant, as villain will never fold 5x until the river even if you where to nicely ask him to.

Start getting value from your good hands and building pots with them, the way you played the hand you don't even have the chance on the river to get in stacks against 75 or 85, unless he decides to reraise you OTR.

P.S.: Yes I pot c/r river, you also might consider leading if he is the type to turn a blank 5 into a bluff if you lead here.

Tom Coldwell 9 years, 9 months ago

Literally the only runout I don't like is a third 5 (or like 755AA/KK etc.). Treating this as a marginal value hand/bluff catcher is not acceptable, it's a monster (especially at 5PLO where people overvalue everything).

I'm not with others on totally hating the flop check/call as I'm fine with trying to get value later on (although I think you have a better shot at stacking 5s by raising early), but I think we should probably have tried to get more money in earlier than the river. To now just call the river would be outrageously passive with this hand.

Cthulu23 9 years, 9 months ago

No offense Tom but c/c seems terrible both from GTO and exploitable perspective. He gets one street more from like a straight, he gets no value from 88+ since if they catch up he's dead, totally wastes the opportunity to stack 5KKJ type hands + it weakens his c/r range and also raising turns looks much stronger. It's potentially losing 1 street against a draw that has no outs, and not stacking a five. And even against aces it's them betting flop and turn, folding to a raise, betting flop checking back turn calling river, or bet bet check back river. Either way he only gets 2 street from that, might as well get it by raising flop. And i think even that is the most likely way he could get a turn call on a blank for a third street of value or maybe stack them. Seems to me it's pretty one sided what the move should be.

Tom Coldwell 9 years, 9 months ago

I think we are looking at this situation from very different positions (although our conclusions don't diverge that wildly given we both stated a preference to raise early, I merely said I don't hate the c/c). You are looking from the angle of, "what's the best way to play this hand on this board?", whereas I'm thinking more, "what errors do I expect 5PLO villains to make most often?"

My basic belief is that most guys at these stakes will probably struggle to fold a straight or big flush if they make it, but may get away if we c/r flop big (maybe not). Meanwhile, I doubt I risk too much money vs. a 5 'cas they will probably decide they're going to showdown regardless. That isn't to say I think c/c is the best option, but I don't think it's the disaster it would be against a player pool with an average skill level that's higher.

I'd also point out that I think you might be overestimating your upside against a villain who would see this c/c and see you have a weakened c/r range - I would be very surprised if someone thinking on that level is blindly going broke w/ KKJ5 for 140bbs unless you have a f*ing aggressive dynamic (not that this changes the fact that I'd want to be aggressive early on against them).

Note: I think there are two other things that weren't mentioned earlier. 1) This is almost certainly a losing defence given the rake (and the hand is shit) and 2) against a lot of micro villains, leading flop may be best (basically, I would strongly prefer not to let draws x back).

Cthulu23 9 years, 9 months ago

It's true that they hardly fold straight, it's also true that they don't bet them once they've made their hand to keep the pot small and avoid c/r. And i didn't point out that c/c would weaken our c/r range caring what would villains, think, i was merely defending my statement regarding GTO play :D You'd wanna c/r 768T stuff some of the time and emptying clip on 8 2 type run-outs, so why not balance that with the perfect uncrackable hand.

Tom Coldwell 9 years, 9 months ago

I would reasonably strongly disagree with some of the implicit assumptions behind this - playing GTO is all well and good, but at the micros/against bad players, it's usually not the best approach (not to mention people often use the phrase to justify horrible play, although that isn't the case here).

What I'm saying is, just because you want to be able to check/raise bluff does not necessarily mean you need to have check/raising value hands (or at least be check/raising the top of your range). Yes, against someone thinking this would obviously be essential to not becoming outrageously exploitable, but against an assumed terrible player, I'm perfectly happy having lines I would only take for value or as a bluff. Therefore, for me, using GTO as a justification of a line inherently assumes certain things about my opponent, certain things that I don't believe to be true in this case.

Cthulu23 9 years, 9 months ago

Yeah i never play GTO at micros i just use some GTO for bluff freq with bottom range and stuff like that but again i was merely pointing out, however irrelevant that may be, that the GTO approach so happens to be the best one in this case :D You have to hate money to play GTO against idiots.

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