Ev calculaltion about calling 4betting.
Posted by BoTaRo
Posted by
BoTaRo
posted in
Low Stakes
Ev calculaltion about calling 4betting.
BN: $100
SB: $161.44
BB: $103.68
UTG: $133.72
HJ: $50
CO: $241.34 (Hero)
SB: $161.44
BB: $103.68
UTG: $133.72
HJ: $50
CO: $241.34 (Hero)
Both UTG and BB looks TAGish Reg.
22/13/5 stats like that.
22/13/5 stats like that.
Preflop
($1.50)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
8
J
9
T
UTG raises to $3.50, HJ calls $3.50, Hero raises to $15.50, BN folds, SB folds, BB calls $14.50, UTG raises to $66, HJ folds, Hero calls $50.50, BB raises to $103.68, and is all in, UTG calls $37.68, Hero calls $37.68
UTG raises to $3.50, HJ calls $3.50, Hero raises to $15.50, BN folds, SB folds, BB calls $14.50, UTG raises to $66, HJ folds, Hero calls $50.50, BB raises to $103.68, and is all in, UTG calls $37.68, Hero calls $37.68
When I called UTG's 4bet, I assume that BB going to call raise shove at many times.
So, in calculation I put the number of calling at Preflop as $88.18 not $50.5 from UTG's 4bet.
So, in calculation I put the number of calling at Preflop as $88.18 not $50.5 from UTG's 4bet.
Flop
($334.04)
K
J
Q
(3 Players)
UTG bets $30.04, and is all in,
Hero calls $30.04
I'd put the range on UTG as all AAxx , and BB as KKBB!RRR.
So, on the flop, pot will be $315.04. We need 8% Required Equity.
Total pot is $375.12
We have 86% of flops at least 8% equity.
Average Equity is 40%. (I calculated as (72%-8%)/2 + 8% =40%)
($375.12*0.4)-$88.18-$30.04=$31.8
($31.8*0.86) + (-$88.18*0.14)=$14.95
Am I did well ??
Thx :)
Loading 1 Comments...
Okay, I'm gonna leave your assumptions as they are. They're read-based so w/e, we'll assume they are accurate.
With regards to the calc, I'm assuming the 72%-8% bit is because you used a line of best fit on a PPT graph which you haven't linked. If so, the average equity has been done correctly.
From there it all looks good (I get a slightly different answer 'cas I don't round when using a calculator, but w/e).
You do have a couple of problems though:
1) You have treated the entire pot as 3-ways when the last $60 will be HU. This probably won't change things MASSIVELY, but it is worth noting.
2) Depending on what you were trying to have the KK hand show, your syntax might be wrong. If BB meant a pair, and you intended that to be double-paired Ks, you're fine. If you meant KK w/ two broadway cards and no trips, then you don't have it right. In that case, you would have needed to put KK[T+][T+]!RRR.
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