Deep river spot

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Deep river spot

BN: $13.07
SB: $60.65
BB: $98.10
UTG: $27.82
HJ: $75.94
CO: $77.17 (Hero)
V is playing 31/18 3b 7 agg 1.8 wtsd 30 over 300 hands
Preflop ($0.35) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt T 9 J T
UTG folds, HJ raises to $0.75, Hero raises to $2.60, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds, HJ calls $1.85
Flop ($5.55) 4 A 2 (2 Players)
HJ checks, Hero bets $3.75, HJ calls $3.75
Turn ($13.05) 4 A 2 T (2 Players)
HJ checks, Hero bets $9, HJ calls $9
River ($31.05) 4 A 2 T A (2 Players)
HJ checks, Hero bets $20, HJ raises to $60.59, and is all in, Hero calls $40.59
This c/r looks strong but i tanked and finally called given that i had the two tens blockers to the nuts and i never put him on any A4 A2 combos. Is this a profitable call against him ?

8 Comments

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Tom Coldwell 11 years, 10 months ago

No complaints about 3-betting a guy 300bbs deep with position. However, bet/calling the river is... ambitious at best. I seriously struggle to believe you are ever good here, especially in a 3-bet pot - this isn't a spot he's ever gonna bluff a 3-bettor I wouldn't think and I doubt he'd jam 44 (which is super rare anyways). I'd be kinda surprised if he's as light as A4 here.

Polar1965 11 years, 10 months ago

At these limits, I would not expect any check raise bluffs on the river.  Just check behind on the river, your bet is only getting raised by better hands.  What hand is calling a river bet here with the action given? The hero reraised pre and bet every street.

Tom Coldwell 11 years, 10 months ago
I disagree that we should check behind on the river. I think villain can have a big A here - say AKJx - have called flop w/ TPTK, turned a gutter and then made trips on the river. These hands will usually call (you now can't have AA obv making it easier for them) and are more prevalent than aces full I would think given we block the Ts and A2/A4 aren't super common for HJ to hold (we also don't block much broadway at all increasing the frequency with which he'll have those). So yeah, I'm always going for value here and would snap-note a villain checking back in Hero's spot as someone who doesn't bet thin.


Polar1965 11 years, 10 months ago

Why could this guy not have quads, just because he did not re-hit you pre flop? Remember he did raise first preflop.   I have to ask myself what is he calling all my bets with?  Not KKxx, not 35xx. ( he would not raise that on the river), not 44xx, not 22xx, so what is left???  Bluffs or AAxx, A4xx, A2xx .  He has to put us on the possibility of having AAxx given our action and he is still raising us!!!

Tom Coldwell 11 years, 10 months ago
Villain can certainly have quads here, I never suggested otherwise (what I said was that if he has trips, he knows we can't have AA). However, quads is clearly not the most common hand he holds when he checks the river so we go for value. I didn't say we were bet/calling the river, I said we were bet/folding, but that we were betting because it's hard for villain to have a better hand (blockers, previous action, and our absolute hand strength) and we can expect him to call with worse somewhat frequently.


TJ Serdar 11 years, 10 months ago

Pre is debatable, but @ this stack depth it's probably fine, especially since no one at 25pl has a balanced 4betting strategy. 


Postflop seems good, though I think your flop sizing is a little too large on A42r.


River is a clear bet/fold and it's not close.

plop85 11 years, 10 months ago
Yeah I was thinking i could save a lot of money by cbetting smaller on dry boards. Not too confident with sizes but I`m working on it.


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