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Deep ante set with FD in 3BP, no blockers

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Deep ante set with FD in 3BP, no blockers

Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (5 Players) CO: $294.57 (Hero)
BN: $608.62
SB: $39.36
BB: $50.00
UTG: $125.00
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is CO with 6 4 4 6
UTG raises to $2.25, Hero raises to $8.00, BN folds, SB calls $7.75, BB folds, UTG calls $5.75
Flop ($25.00) K 9 T
SB checks, UTG checks, Hero checks
Turn ($25.00) K 9 T 4
SB checks, UTG bets $19.00, Hero calls $19.00, SB folds
River ($63.00) K 9 T 4 6
UTG bets $41.50

SB is 62/40, MP is decent reg opening 23-25%, no sample on turn stab vs skipped cbet in 3BP, doesnt seem to be super spewy or stabby overall.

I feel like my hand should be a fold, but I'm not sure as it should be quite close if he has some bluffs here. Interested on how you guys few this spot and whether we should bluffcatch or not, and will run some sims on the side myself with different ranges.

P.S.: I'm checking back most of my range on the flop, also a fair share of QJ, propably betting most KK that I 3bet there. So while I'm quite high up, I'm definitely not at the top of my range.

10 Comments

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Cthulu23 9 years, 9 months ago

I think it's a fold, he can even vbet KK

EdgeKing 9 years, 9 months ago

I did both calcs, with him vbetting KK+ and 87+, the results are quite interesting :) Yet gonna wait for some more replies. I assigned him a bluffingrange of K8 and worse to make our weakest bluffcatchers such as AA+FD and AK with gutshot not get to showdown, might do another one where he bluffs only blockers and AT or worse.

Cthulu23 9 years, 9 months ago

Oh yeah didn't see the 87 there, curious about the results, you gotta give him AXXXss for bluffs right? And you think bluffing AK-Q/J hands in his shoes is bad unless he also has spades that make our hands more valueish? And one more question, let's say you 3bet KK89 double suited no spades pre and checkback, is it autocall river?

Cthulu23 9 years, 9 months ago

Is betting range in his shoes even bad here? Feels +ev

EdgeKing 9 years, 9 months ago

Propably fine against most regs at 50, don't think it's great against me, might find out tomorrow or maybe make a video on that hand using PJ.

Betting range would also imply him betting hands like AJ96ds, not sure how great of an idea it would be tbh.

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