Always have trouble with this spot and would like your input on how to decided what is best. 

Scenario: Open CO w QQJ5ss 100bb deep, Reg OTB flats (15% flatting range at excludes hands that 3b), blinds fold. Flop T72r 

CBet or Check-Fold?

Villain Hand Strength on Flop: 

 16.0216% NOTHING | STRAIGHT OUTS: 0 

 3.0023% POCKET23 | STRAIGHT OUTS: 0

 6.5094% SECONDPAIR | STRAIGHT OUTS: 0

 2.3584% POCKET12 | STRAIGHT OUTS: 0

 6.9639% THIRDPAIR | STRAIGHT OUTS: 0 

 9.7617% TOPPAIR | STRAIGHT OUTS: 0

7.3545% NOTHING | STRAIGHT OUTS: 1-4

 FOLDING: 52%

  

 1.1707% THIRDPAIR | STRAIGHT OUTS: 1-4 

 0.2606% POCKET23 | STRAIGHT OUTS: 1-4 

 1.2126% SECONDPAIR | STRAIGHT OUTS: 1-4 

 1.0623% POCKET12 | STRAIGHT OUTS: 1-4 

 1.0967% POCKET12 | STRAIGHT OUTS: 5-8

 0.3390% SECONDPAIR | STRAIGHT OUTS: 5-8 

 0.4703% THIRDPAIR | STRAIGHT OUTS: 5-8 

 2.3946% NOTHING | STRAIGHT OUTS: 5-8 

 0.8595% NOTHING | STRAIGHT OUTS: 13-16 

 1.4254% TOPPAIR | STRAIGHT OUTS: 1-4 

 0.8299% TOPPAIR | STRAIGHT OUTS: 5-8 

20.6546% OVERPAIR |
STRAIGHT OUTS: 0

4.3758% OVERPAIR |
STRAIGHT OUTS: 1-4

0.3738% OVERPAIR | STRAIGHT OUTS: 5-8

 0.1582% OVERPAIR | STRAIGHT OUTS: 9-12 

 1.4634% BOTTOMTWO | STRAIGHT OUTS: 0 

 2.9376% TOPANDBOTTOM | STRAIGHT OUTS: 0 

 2.8463% TOPTWO | STRAIGHT OUTS: 0 

 3.4506% SET | STRAIGHT OUTS: 0

 0.3082% SET | STRAIGHT OUTS: 1-4

 0.3382% SET | STRAIGHT OUTS: 5-8 

 Continuing: 48%

Key assumptions are that villain will fold both Dry Top Pair and Naked Gutter and continue with all Dry Overpairs

Given above a standard size CBet IS immediately profitable. 

Do you think my assumptions about what he is doing with his differernt parts of his range are correct?

We are 54% vs his whole range on the flop and we have 42% against his continuing range.

Interesting that 1/2 of his continuing range is Dry Overpairs and Overpair + Gutter