Call the flop x/r in position vs. a likely set, or just shove over it 100BB deep?
Posted by AllinAMar
Posted by AllinAMar posted in Low Stakes
Call the flop x/r in position vs. a likely set, or just shove over it 100BB deep?
100BB Effective $0.02 / $0.05
(UTG)
(MP) Main Villain $5
(CO) Villain ~ $5
(BTN) Hero $5
(SB)
(BB)
(MP) Main Villain opens pot $0.17, (CO) calls $0.17, (BTN) Hero calls $0.17 with Ad Jd Jh 3h
FLOP ($0.58): 5d 6d Ah
Both Villains check, Hero bets $0.46 with TP, NFD and BDFD, (MP) Main Villain x/r pots to $1.96, (CO) folds
The total pot is now ($3.00), Hero can either call $1.50, creating a 0.64 SPR on the turn (pot size ($4.50) with $2.87 behind) or shove... Against likely sets 55xx, 66xx and AAxx Hero is ~41%, against less likely monster wrap and weak fd like 4d 7d 8c 9c Hero is 58%.
Only around 30 hands on Villain, I think around 28 /14, seems like he's only x/r potting here with a set.
I don't think I can make a case for checking behind on the flop because I don't really mind a x/r, but once I got it, should I be taking the good price, call and fold to a shove on a blank or paired turn, or just shove flop with basically no fold equity?
I shoved flop and lost on a brick run out to Villains set 55KQcs.
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