bluffcatcher vs reg's 3barrel line (OOP)

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bluffcatcher vs reg's 3barrel line (OOP)

HJ: $81.41
CO: $26.95
BN: $98.72
SB: $77.30 (Hero)
BB: $56.20
Preflop ($0.75) (5 Players)
Hero was dealt T 9 Q K
HJ raises to $1.75, CO folds, BN folds, Hero calls $1.50, BB calls $1.25
Flop ($5.25) 8 K 5 (3 Players)
Hero checks, BB checks, HJ bets $4, Hero calls $4, BB folds
Turn ($13.25) 8 K 5 Q (2 Players)
Hero checks, HJ bets $9, Hero calls $9
River ($31.25) 8 K 5 Q 6 (2 Players)
Hero checks, HJ bets $23

V 29\19, open UTG 20 (MP, as its 5max - 24%) cbet 49% (3way 32%)

turn cbet 54%, river -33%. aggr 27\26\20 (f\t\r)    wtsd 31% wwsf 32% (seems like indicates passiveness)

5k hands+

notecaddy shows completely polarized range for river bets, with ~10-12% of bluffs (always ~65% PSB) and remaining range are bets for value 


with all of above info - what the line would you take? 

on 2\3 - I would almost always call, but 6 changes things a bit, as all of the wraps get here + he has some sets as well. I don't expect to see any splits here.

5 Comments

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Imfish4u 11 years, 3 months ago

I do like c/c OTF i actually think it is the only option here. c/r would turn our hand into a bluff and we should fold once he 3bets and it will be very tough to play OOP on a lot of turns. I guess if your dont like to play OOP and are super nit you will fold here but call seems best here.

I dont like the turn c/c because we do turn top two and by just calling we'll have a tough decision on the river unless we fill up or a complete blank hits but there are not a lot of them. So i would either go for a big lead, around 12$ or big c/r.


mah0ma 11 years, 3 months ago

I guess im a super nit :( I just think we are in for a world of hurt on lots and lots of turns and rivers.... especially when you cc turn again turning TTP on a "safe" board

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