bluffcatch OTF, setting ranges

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bluffcatch OTF, setting ranges

Blinds: $0.50/$1.00 (6 Players) BN: $62.58
SB: $197.94
BB: $92.46
UTG: $111.39
MP: $101.50
CO: $145.42 (Hero)
Preflop ($1.50) Hero is CO with A Q A T
2 folds, Hero raises to $3.00, BN calls $3.00, SB folds, BB calls $2.00
Flop ($9.50) 6 9 J
BB checks, Hero bets $7.40, BN calls $7.40, BB folds
Turn ($24.30) 6 9 J 3
Hero bets $18.00, BN calls $18.00
River ($60.30) 6 9 J 3 J
Hero checks, BN bets $28.90
Villain has ~30$ left here

https://pokerjuice.com/hh/24940/

So, I'm not looking for an answer if it's x/call or not OTR, but rather how you'd set ranges vs unknown.
(opponent is likely to be bad 50\10 over 20hands)

what we should exclude OTF from his calling range?
how to use BC module OTR?

feels like way closer decision than what it shows.

2 Comments

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Ibra Cadabra 7 years, 10 months ago

I'm not familiar with using PJ at all, so I can't help you with that. I do have some thoughts about bluff-catching rivers though. In this case for example, you block a lot of drawing combos villain could have, and basically not a single made hand combo. Additionally, I think villain's overall agression (factor) is an important indicator as to whether he bluff-stabs missed rivers. In this case for example, someone playng 50/10 over 20 hands imo is way more likely to check back hands like KK, and even 9xxx with or without a missed draw. To me it seems a bit redundant to try and break down his entire river range into value-bet, check-back, and bluff portions, especially since you know so little about him and his tendencies, but maybe that's my loss :)

samuelazo 7 years, 10 months ago

I would add on the calling range more J combos, so basically i think if he is that passive he would be calling bare jacks as well. I would type "J" so to include all other top pairs that dont include a gutshot. I would also add tt,qq,kk. Maybe tt:c if you reckon he calls wih t and a club blocker, im not sure. Include tt's combos accoridng to your read on him. But some of this passive players will call evern worse shit. I could exclude j9+ not necessarily only the combos that include clubs with it and also exclude apart from what you have already, wraps + FD, so 78+:cc.

I widened a bit the flop and turn calling range to include more J combos. and excluded 78+:cc in the flop (assuming he would raise that). After doin that, in ther river , in the RD module says that he will show up with a J by the river almost 22% of the time and everything else left on his range 28% . I assume the rest 50% would be his air. And in the BC module his vaue bets increase to 37% , check down to 27% and air 36%(slightly lower but depreciable). According to this, mathematically is a break even call, but if you add the argument that Ibra Cadabra said before, and take into account his passive tendencies, i lean more towards a crying fold, even though it's annoying for that price.

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