Are my value bets too thin?
Posted by SnowmanMOT
Posted by
SnowmanMOT
posted in
Low Stakes
Are my value bets too thin?
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (3 Players)
BB: $60.76 (Hero)
BN: $31.95
SB: $41.81
BN: $31.95
SB: $41.81
Been playing 3 handed for a while SB - 57/43 over 400 hands (mix of 3-6 handed)
A bit fit/fold on flops but he's quite sticky once he catches something decent and I've seen him call down really light, over 3 streets.
Kind of an 'in for a penny, in for a pound' kind of player when pots get huge, but he's quite decent and makes good bets and folds in small and medium sized pots.
A bit fit/fold on flops but he's quite sticky once he catches something decent and I've seen him call down really light, over 3 streets.
Kind of an 'in for a penny, in for a pound' kind of player when pots get huge, but he's quite decent and makes good bets and folds in small and medium sized pots.
Preflop
($0.35)
Hero is BB with
5
9
2
K
, ,
Flop
($1.50)
5
3
A
, ,
Turn
($8.10)
5
3
A
4
, ,
River
($18.10)
5
3
A
4
8
, ,
Final Pot
BB wins $17.33
Rake is $0.77
Rake is $0.77
I think he'll over c bet this flop (c bet is 77%) and I could easily have every 42xx combo. I'm trying to realize my equity and see the river for this price and get some FE in the process, while deep and in position. I don't expect him to play back here ever.
Hit the turn and I'm trying to get value from his 2P and maybe set combos (picked up diamond draws too). When I don't get raised I think he never has the bigger straight.
River is essentially the same scenario as the turn, trying to get called by his 2P and sets again.
Is this too thin?
Thoughts for all streets appreciated :)
Loading 2 Comments...
With stacks quite deep, I expect him to raise the turn with 76 and possibly 62 because you seem to have lots of AA and sometimes 5-high straights, which you might not fold to his raise. That said I think we have a fairly easy value bet on the river, and I like your small sizing too.
river in a vacuum... If he's never calling the bet with a set then yes it's too thin since you are giving him a free roll on you river bet. But at same time for balance purpose, if you check back this river you are polarizing your river bets to bluffs or nuts...which closes out opportunity in future to bluff rivers often but opens the door to start merging to value bet super thin if you think he catches onto this....
All only applicable if opponent is paying this close attention...which i think we should ignore in this situation...
Thus... Definitely value bet here... Play around with smaller sizing on river ~1/3 pot
Be the first to add a comment