http://weaktight.com/6917580

villain is a good aggro reg, one of the better ones at these stakes, aggro but not spewy, and loose in the right spots. he opens btn 65%+. his raise cb is very high 27% over a large sample, esp vs me, as i have cb-folded too much vs him in the past. his raise cb is high ip in SPR too, and with these stacks the spr is more similar to a srp with 100bbs so his raising range will be polarized except my range is a little more transparent.

i dont wanna bet-fold this vs him, but i think bet-calling is too dicey. during the session i have c-f a couple of bad flops and c-c c-f once on a similar board texture as this.

i dont have bet ip vs mis cb 3bet pots in HM2 (any1 know if there is such a stat and where it is?) but his bet ip vs mis = 52%, prob higher vs me as he knows there are some x-f in my range, but at this stack depth not so many x-r.

agg freq by street: 47 39 32

AF by street           4 2.4 2.4

whats our turn plan if we x-c flop, and do we continue on this turn, and how do we play river? unfortunately hes caught me donk bluffing a couple of times in the past so i dont think we can donk bluff the flush (hard to rep either way) but we may get paid if we river a str8.