Aces w/ flushdraw flop decision multiway
Posted by Andreas Flakstad
Posted by Andreas Flakstad posted in Mid Stakes
Aces w/ flushdraw flop decision multiway
UTG: ZiWuvdUbtiYd: $807.84
HJ: The Rock232: $148
CO: BUYNI: $767.61
BN: flikkflak: $1253.88
SB: DaMurdera3: $358.93
BB: El Nio 55: $406
HJ: The Rock232: $148
CO: BUYNI: $767.61
BN: flikkflak: $1253.88
SB: DaMurdera3: $358.93
BB: El Nio 55: $406
Preflop
($6.00)
(6 Players)
flikkflak was dealt
A
2
J
A
ZiWuvdUbtiYd raises to $12, The Rock232 calls $12, BUYNI folds, flikkflak raises to $54, DaMurdera3 folds, El Nio 55 folds, ZiWuvdUbtiYd calls $42, The Rock232 calls $42
ZiWuvdUbtiYd raises to $12, The Rock232 calls $12, BUYNI folds, flikkflak raises to $54, DaMurdera3 folds, El Nio 55 folds, ZiWuvdUbtiYd calls $42, The Rock232 calls $42
So, I squeeze single suited aces versus the UTG opener and the shortstack caller from the BTN. UTG is unknown to me, but his limited sampled stats show him as positional aware so I suspect he's not a drooler. The shortstacker is unknown.
Flop
($168.00)
6
6
7
(3 Players)
ZiWuvdUbtiYd bets $104,
The Rock232 calls $94, and is all in,
flikkflak calls $104
UTG comes out betting which I don't read as particularly strong. He should view my range has heavily weighted towards aces when I squeeze preflop and reason that I will bet the flop against the shortstack. So I'm weighting his range towards something like 789 with/without a flushdraw or queens with a flushdraw.
Is it better to raise and possibly fold out a hand that has 25-30% equity like a naked 789, or get it in with 55% versus a wrap+flushdraw? Is there a possibility of making big mistakes on certain turncards?
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