AAxxds 160bb deep, Turn decision.
Posted by JimmyGlass
Posted by
JimmyGlass
posted in
Low Stakes
AAxxds 160bb deep, Turn decision.
SB: $40.67 (Hero)
BB: $25
UTG: $25
HJ: $13.11
CO: $64.71
BN: $38.75
BB: $25
UTG: $25
HJ: $13.11
CO: $64.71
BN: $38.75
Preflop
($0.35)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
A
7
2
A
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, BN raises to $0.85, Hero raises to $2.80, BB calls $2.55, BN calls $1.95
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, BN raises to $0.85, Hero raises to $2.80, BB calls $2.55, BN calls $1.95
Flop
($8.50)
5
2
J
(3 Players)
Hero bets $5.10,
BB folds,
BN calls $5.10
Turn
($18.70)
5
2
J
K
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
BN bets $10.75,
Hero calls $10.75
River
($40.20)
5
2
J
K
Q
(2 Players)
Hero bets $22.02, and is all in
BB 26\16, wtsd 29, fold to cb (3b pot 38%) hands - 2k. aggressive reg.
BU 95\38\20 after 37hands. fold to cb - 20%. seems to be rather aggro
do we fold if BB pots and BU fold? sizing OTF is ok or should go smaller?
its looked to me too deep for bet-calling OTT, but probably we are well ahead against his range and dont know what i was afraid of. anyway, plan was to c/c turn and river on 5,2 and K, shove ace and diamond.
if we bet ~60% of the pot OTT - we are shoving every river?
Loading 3 Comments...
It´s a tough spot OTT, since if you bet I don´t think you can fold. If you bet like $10 and get shoved, you´ll be getting something around 3:1, and will have 30% equity vs a worst-case scenario range of sets and 2-pair, and will be ahead if you include TP + draws.
OTF bet/fold seems standard. However, BN seems to be a maniac. Vs. 80%6h:(JJ,55,22,J5,J2,52,34:(J,5,2)) we still have 30% equity. BN could raise bare TP or weaker OPs and we would fold a lot more equity. I really would like to see a turn here and go from there. That is just an idea and I would like to see some comments here.
As played: I would expect to get raised from a similar range like mentioned above OTF. I expect BN to call with bare gutshots and any pair. Without running it through PPT it feels like the K should not improve villain often. I like your check OTT because nondiamond rivers can be ugly to play after getting called again. Instead of ch/calling I would go for the check/raise here. His bet size looks weak on this drawy board. It is unlikely he has a diamond draw, too. If he had bare 2P+ I would expect a bigger bet... But you never know what to expect from a 95/38 guy.
Pot/call turn imo.
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