A standard cooler in squeezed pot or not?
Posted by plac730
Posted by
plac730
posted in
Mid Stakes
A standard cooler in squeezed pot or not?
BN: $194
SB: $283.52
BB: $653.58
UTG: $60.05
HJ: $63
CO: $200 (Hero)
SB: $283.52
BB: $653.58
UTG: $60.05
HJ: $63
CO: $200 (Hero)
The villain in this spot is a reg, but less aggressive than most postflop. He is playing 25/17/7 but only c-bets 52% in single raised pots and only 48% in 3 bet pots. Sample size is often an issue here but I have 3k hands on him which I think makes the stat fairly reliable.
Preflop
($3.00)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
2
Q
Q
A
UTG folds, HJ folds, Hero raises to $6, BN folds, SB calls $5, BB raises to $24, Hero calls $18, SB calls $18
UTG folds, HJ folds, Hero raises to $6, BN folds, SB calls $5, BB raises to $24, Hero calls $18, SB calls $18
Given the tightness of the squeezer, can we fold this pre? Our overpair is probably dominated by AA or KK pretty often here. I think I would have folded single suited but double suited I thought calling was still ok at the time.
Flop
($74.00)
T
6
4
(3 Players)
SB checks,
BB bets $52.59,
Hero raises to $174.66,
SB folds,
BB raises to $296.73,
Hero calls $1.34, and is all in
At first glance this looks like a raise/get in spot with an overpair+flushdraw but given the unusually low c-bet in 3 bet pots (he also folds to a raise in 3 bet pots 0% of the time which means he is always calling once he c-bets) and the fact that he is c-betting 3 way, can we make a hero fold here despite the spr being less than 3?
Turn
($599.32)
T
6
4
9
(2 Players)
River
($599.32)
T
6
4
9
7
(2 Players)
Final Pot
BB has
5
K
K
9
Hero has
2
Q
Q
A
BB
wins $421.20
We actually had 40% against his actual hand preflop but the times we run into AAxx we are doing pretty poorly and are put into an awkward spot on a random 752 flop so perhaps this is still a fold pre?
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