5/10PLO Live: Bluff turn holding 2nd nuts
Posted by Zachary Freeman
Posted by
Zachary Freeman
posted in
High Stakes
5/10PLO Live: Bluff turn holding 2nd nuts
5/10PLO effective stacks $3180
Game has a couple loose passives. BB is veteran live pro, tight ranges in most spots, bluffs just enough to keep perception of being balanced while really not being very much so. But capable of big bluffs and call downs when necessary. In short he plays well; fries fish exploitevly and isn't 100% abc vs good players.
3 limps hero completes SB with JhTs6s7c
Villain in BB checks
Flop Ks Qs Js
Pot $50
Hero leads $40, villain raises to $120, 3 folds, hero calls.
Turn 6h.
Pot $290
Hero checks, villain bets $240, hero c/r to $840, villain raises to $1840, hero ships for $3050
I think villain has the nut flush here a lot even though imo 3betting the turn is poor and surprised me when he did. In fact once he 3bet turn I upped his As blocker bluffing frequency a bit given i expected him to flat NF most often. When he is bluffing I pickup $2130, or he calls off behind with the rare QQAsX for example. When he has NF although it would be a contradiction in logic on his side to 3bet/f turn, I assessed that he would fold NF maybe 20%-40%, given I don't think he would expect me to jam Ts blocker with so little behind. Add in that I picked up 4outs vs NF giving me about 10% equity vs his calling range which equates to more than 10% FE. Getting him to fold NF relies on him making an information raise on turn.
I thought hand was interesting given I hold the 2nd nuts not just the blocker, and because i picked up 2pr on turn. I felt like if I'm ever bluffing in this spot it has to be with this hand.
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