5/10PLO Deep bottom set vs TAG

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5/10PLO Deep bottom set vs TAG

Villain is solid TAG. He isn't very barrely nor bluffy. It's a loose live game deep with straddles. Villain is first to act on BTN since the "rock" (mandatory straddle by last hands winner) is the CO. 

Villain first to act makes it $40, a couple loose callers in the blinds and MP, hero calls with JJ88hh in HJ. Villain started with $1800, I cover.

Flop AhKd8s pot$200

Checks to villain, he bets $160, folds to hero. Hero xc. 

Turn 9c. I xc bet of 450. Villain has 1100 back. 

My thoughts are he may be betting for value with AK,A9,A8. I don't think (not certain though) that he will value bet AK unimproved on river. I also have blockers to the wrap which makes made hands more likely. I plan to xf to pot river bet on blanks. I could possibly bluff Q or T rivers. 

River 6. Hero checks villain pots allin $1100. Hero folds.

This might be his river range

http://www.propokertools.com/simulations/show?b=Ahks8d9c6h&g=oh&h1=Jhjs8h8c&h2=KK%21rrr%40100%2CAA%21rrr%40100%2C20%25%3Aak%4030%2CQjt%3A20%25%4025%2Cakt7%40100&s=generic




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