5/10 online HU 3bet Pot Turnplay...
Posted by opn_mindet
Posted by opn_mindet posted in High Stakes
5/10 online HU 3bet Pot Turnplay...
Hey,
hope ya´ll doing fine.
I am really interessed regards the following turn spot. We both played like 100 hands and i assume he is more reg then recreational. My 3bet image was tight.
Anyway i like to talk about the spot in generell.
Stacks are 100bb, i 3bet Qh8h7d6d and villain flats.
Flop: Ah7h6d (18BB) - Hero cbet and villain calls (cbet size 12bb)
Turn: Jc - Hero ? (hero c/c 60% bet)
River Qs - hero checks and villain jams - hero ?!?
Thoughts: I ran some quick math and gave villain 90%!aa pre and gave him the following continuing range: (67,a,hh,89,77,66,85) - that means he is folding nearly 50% flop which makes sence given my databese.
I obv. assumed he flats everything here sand excluded any bluffs too.
30% of his range is 2P+ and i have around 23% equity while having 68% vs the other 70% of his range. He obv. won´t call all of his range which i have 68% against but might bluff some (just some thoughts at this point).
So i am really thinking hard about c/c turn vs. betting esp. cause that gives me some more strenght once i check to c/c.
On flipside its really hard to get value once i hit and i feel my hand is kinda face up (i rep showdown value with draw, i assume most people assume we bet AQT* turn s default) so i feel i can get bluffed pretty easily and find myself in a nasty river spots as played out.
Long story short - maybe some of you can gimme soime input how to improve my though process in this situation. I am happy to discuss further details!
Thanks!
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