5/10 3bet Pot river - thin value or not?
Posted by opn_mindet
Posted by opn_mindet posted in High Stakes
5/10 3bet Pot river - thin value or not?
Hi, i am a bit unsure regards following spots. Its one of the spots where we have most likely the best hand but its questionable if we get called by worse enough to make a value bet.Villain is a reg but i think he is coming from 6max.He doesn´t open butons super wide and seems more passsiv on flop while his aggression is raising towards river. In 3bet pots (his 3bet is 17%) he is cbetting only 35% so far (ion srp´s like 45%) and is c/f half the time so far (600 sample). He can attack capped ranges tho like 3betting turns when you chkB flops and rep turned trips or when you chkB paired flops.Seems like his whole game is really showdown bound at least on flop and turn... i altho have seen some light calls on river in smaller pots.My image is in line/probably tag/tight not to creative/bluffy i guess.
His 1/2 make sence on this flop as i see most people do it on monoton flops- not sure about turn tho (could be a flush still, occ. a boat) .On river i feel i have the best hands most of the time. Assuming i flat all flushes and sets, 2pairs that turn a boat on flop i have 40% boats+ on river and given i am not betting all my flushes on river i am not afraid of b/f to much on river nor is my range capped.I still struggle with betting river unless i bet really small (unsure how to react to a cR). I don´t think its a good spots for villain to go for a cr for value on river and i´d be suprise to see him showing up with different opinion. On the flip side i´d don´t think i get called by 3rd nutflush often enough to make hbetting +ev.So he might c/c with a nut flush sometimes, rarely with a straight (which i think would be pretty bad against me.Do you guys see any other factors to bet or do you disagress with my assumptions?
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