50PLO turn danger zone spot
Posted by jonna102
Posted by jonna102 posted in Low Stakes
50PLO turn danger zone spot
HJ: $50.75
CO: $49.75
BN: $50
SB: $148.47
BB: $50
Hero raises to $1.75, HJ calls $1.75, CO calls $1.75, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds
Guys, I'd like to get some views on a fairly common spot in PLO. It's where you're oop 3-way on the flop with a very strong combo draw, but where the equity changes on blank (-ish) turns. Against all light peels we still have a ton of equity on the turn, but against flop slow plays (specifically QT or sets) we're not doing so great. If we bet and get raised it's fairly likely we're in that danger zone 25-40% where we're pretty much priced in to call but we still get a good chunk of money in pretty bad.
Our options:
* Bet/calling -- are we getting enough turn folds by barreling here to make up for the times we get it in bad?
* Check/raising -- probably the better play against auto turn floaters, but what about those not likely to bet?
* Check/calling -- realizes our equity but we kinda have fold all rivers we don't improve on.
* Check/folding -- no, not even I would check/fold here, and bet/folding must be even worse. ;-)
What would you do?
I've intentionally left out opponent reads here because I think it's more interesting to discuss the options against different types of opponents. I've also not mentioned the flop play, which can be either bet or c/r I guess, but it's the turn spot I'm most interested in for this post.
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