50PLO - Tricky spot with overpair on the river facing donk-shove

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50PLO - Tricky spot with overpair on the river facing donk-shove

CO: $0
BN: $55.50 (Hero)
SB: $17.88
BB: $86.34
V is unknown loose pretty aggressive fish playing 83/14/1, AF river 37%, 30 hands in the match. It was HU before this hand, the third guy just joined.
Preflop ($0.75) (3 Players)
Hero was dealt 7 8 K K
Hero raises to $1.75, SB calls $1.50, BB calls $1.25
Flop ($5.25) 7 2 9 (3 Players)
SB checks, BB checks, CO bets $3.50, SB folds, BB calls $3.50
Turn ($12.25) 3 (2 Players)
BB bets $6.12, Hero raises to $30.61, BB calls $24.49
River ($73.47) T (2 Players)
BB bets $50.48
I have 20$ left. He insta-shoved btw.
1. Is this call/fold?
2. Do we jam always when he checks the river?

6 Comments

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Viktor Luis Larsson 12 years, 2 months ago
1. Call. He could have some weird JT8x hand or naked clubs that missed totally, and you need to be right only ~18% of the time.
2. Check back. He wont call you with anything worse. He might also have a scared 23xx which you can save $20 from.
eldodo42 12 years, 2 months ago
Ugh. On the table I shrug/call, but I don't know if we're good the required amount of the time. Also, if BB was on the passive side I think flatting the turn would have been better than raising, since it's hard to put villain on a bluff here. But seeing as villain is aggressive, I think rivers would be difficult to play and he shows up with dominated draws a bunch of the time or hands that would fold at some point, so raising is probably better.

If he checked the river I'm never betting. Sometimes he'll have a missed draw plus weak two pairs that he'll find a fold with, but I think it doesn't make up for all the times he has two pairs+ and calls.
DirtyD 12 years, 2 months ago
Not sure if him showing up with two pair makes this more or less of a call. Does he perceive his hand as the nuts on the river?

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